Montevideo Wanderers vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Disney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Disney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
35
Yellow cards
41
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
77
Corner kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', Levato M. 🟨,
  • 20', Zazpe L. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Peralta M. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Zazpe L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Levato M. , Luna J. ,
  • 50', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Luna J. , Furtado N. (A),
  • 68', Rossi I. , Costantino I. ,
  • 70', Benitez S. 🟨,
  • 74', Zeballos J. , Garcia A. ,
  • 77', Mayada C. , Balatti F. ,
  • 77', Cavanagh T. , Pereyra J. ,
  • 77', Peralta M. , Montana A. ,
  • 80', Urretaviscaya J. , Labandeira F. ,
  • 88', Benitez S. , Acosta M. ,
  • 89', Cabrera E. , Femia E. ,
  • 90', Mencia Hernandez D. J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Montevideo Wanderers
30.6%
Draw
31.5%
Danubio
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 30.9% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 29.8% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (3.3)
    2.93
    (2.98)
    2.46
    (2.22)
    7.7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Danubio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio 0:2
    16.03.2025 Danubio - Montevideo Wanderers 2:1
    28.09.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio 2:2
    24.03.2024 Danubio - Montevideo Wanderers 0:2
    06.03.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio 0:1
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1072118:9923
    2Penarol1071217:8922
    3Maldonado1061315:10519
    4Central Esp1052314:11317
    5Nacional1051414:11316
    6Montevideo City1043314:11315
    7Wanderers1042411:15-414
    8Albion1034313:12113
    9Liverpool M1034313:13013
    10Defensor Sp103437:7013
    11Cerro Largo1041512:13-113
    12Danubio1034312:13-113
    13Boston River103259:11-211
    14CA Cerro102265:14-98
    15Progreso101459:17-87
    16Juventud101189:17-84

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