Result
21/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Montevideo Wanderers
32.1% | Draw
31.2% | Danubio
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montevideo Wanderers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danubio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↓
(3.3) |
2.95 ↓
(2.98) |
2.54 ↑
(2.22) |
7.8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo Wanderers won against Danubio?
Montevideo Wanderers has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Montevideo Wanderers?
Danubio has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Danubio were as follows:
06.09.2025
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Danubio
0:2
16.03.2025
Danubio
-
Montevideo Wanderers
2:1
28.09.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Danubio
2:2
24.03.2024
Danubio
-
Montevideo Wanderers
0:2
06.03.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Danubio
0:1
Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
Latest results of Danubio
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Danubio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Central Esp | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nacional | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Defensor Sp | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Albion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Progreso | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Juventud | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Boston River | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
