Navalcarnero vs Montijo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Navalcarnero - Montijo
Result
4:2
28/01/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 20

Chances of winning


Navalcarnero
51.9%
Draw
28.8%
Montijo
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 31% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 31.5% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Navalcarnero's performance.
  • Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montijo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navalcarnero that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montijo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Navalcarnero - Montijo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (2.07)
    3.16
    (2.9)
    4.72
    (3.51)
    9.7%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Navalcarnero is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Montijo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Navalcarnero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Navalcarnero is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Navalcarnero - Montijo were as follows:
    17.09.2023 Montijo - Navalcarnero 0:1
    09.04.2023 Navalcarnero - Montijo 5:0
    27.11.2022 Montijo - Navalcarnero 2:0
    Latest results of Navalcarnero
    Latest results of Montijo
    21.01.2024 Montijo - Numancia 1:0
    13.01.2024 Illescas - Montijo 1:2
    07.01.2024 Atlético Paso - Montijo 2:1
    17.12.2023 Montijo - Llerenense 0:1
    10.12.2023 Badajoz - Montijo 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2