Navalcarnero vs Montijo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
28/01/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 20

Chances of winning


Navalcarnero
51.9%
Draw
28.8%
Montijo
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 31% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 31.5% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Navalcarnero's performance.
  • Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montijo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navalcarnero that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montijo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Navalcarnero - Montijo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (2.07)
    3.16
    (2.9)
    4.72
    (3.51)
    9.7%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Navalcarnero is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Montijo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Navalcarnero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Navalcarnero is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Navalcarnero - Montijo were as follows:
    17.09.2023 Montijo - Navalcarnero 0:1
    09.04.2023 Navalcarnero - Montijo 5:0
    27.11.2022 Montijo - Navalcarnero 2:0
    Latest results of Navalcarnero
    Latest results of Montijo
    21.01.2024 Montijo - Numancia 1:0
    13.01.2024 Illescas - Montijo 1:2
    07.01.2024 Atlético Paso - Montijo 2:1
    17.12.2023 Montijo - Llerenense 0:1
    10.12.2023 Badajoz - Montijo 1:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:232970
    2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:272470
    3Conquense341612642:301260
    4Getafe B34169955:352057
    5CD Coria34169950:381257
    6RSD Alcala341491142:39351
    7Tenerife B341551457:53450
    8Orihuela3412101245:43246
    9CF Intercity3411101342:45-343
    10Navalcarnero3411101340:42-243
    11Las Palmas B341191442:45-342
    12Ilicitano3410111351:56-541
    13Real Madrid C341171642:45-340
    14Quintanar del Rey341161736:43-739
    15Fuenlabrada349101535:44-937
    16Colonia M34971837:57-2034
    17Socuellamos347101734:55-2131
    18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:63-3330

          Promotion
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          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation