Boulogne vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 19
  • Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.340.20
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
12
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
52
Passes
67% (213/316)82% (391/478)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.340.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.290.20
Total shots
67
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
02
Shots inside the box
33
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
17
Free kicks
159
Passes
67% (213/316)82% (391/478)
Long passes
32% (18/57)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
52% (52/100)68% (80/117)
Crosses
18% (3/17)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.45
Throw ins
3227
Fouls
915
Tackles
65% (11/17)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5344
Clearances
2329
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
20
xGOT faced
0.200.29
Goals prevented
0.20-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Laporte J. 🟨,
  • 30', Fatar N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fatar N. , Lecolier M. ,
  • 58', Junior Pereira da Silva E. , Chennahi T. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Fatou C. , Binet N. (A),
  • 68', Duflos S. , Bultel J. ,
  • 69', Fatou C. , Keita S. ,
  • 69', Pays N. , Mbuku N. ,
  • 70', Issoufou Y. , Fayad K. ,
  • 78', Gourville S. 🟨,
  • 80', El Farissi A. , Martin J. ,
  • 84', Thiam D. 🟨,
  • 90', Thiam D. , Kouassi E. ,

Chances of winning


Boulogne
29.7%
Draw
30.3%
Montpellier
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 28.5% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Boulogne - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (3.35)
    3.05
    (3.28)
    2.32
    (2.14)
    7.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Boulogne - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boulogne: 12%65%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 1 - 50%). Montpellier (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Montpellier (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Montpellier (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 1 - 25%). Montpellier (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 9).
    • In recent matches, Montpellier has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Boulogne: Martin J. (Leg Injury) Mpembele Boula E. (Inactive) Raillot L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Injury) Sishuba A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Boulogne: Capuano G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montpellier: Chennahi T. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boulogne - Montpellier were as follows:
    23.09.2025 Montpellier - Boulogne 1:3
    Latest results of Boulogne
    03.01.2026 Guingamp - Boulogne 3:0
    15.12.2025 Boulogne - Troyes 1:2
    05.12.2025 Clermont - Boulogne 1:1
    21.11.2025 Boulogne - Grenoble 3:1
    07.11.2025 Dunkerque - Boulogne 1:1
    Latest results of Montpellier
    11.01.2026 Metz - Montpellier 0:4
    05.01.2026 Montpellier - Dunkerque 1:3
    13.12.2025 Grenoble - Montpellier 1:1
    06.12.2025 Montpellier - Pau 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes27166544:271754
    2St Etienne27155746:291750
    3Le Mans271211437:261147
    4Red Star27128731:27444
    5Reims271110639:261343
    6Rodez271110634:32243
    7Montpellier271251033:25841
    8Dunkerque27109842:291339
    9Annecy271161035:30539
    10Guingamp27109838:38039
    11Pau FC27108940:44-438
    12Boulogne27961230:38-833
    13Grenoble27612924:30-630
    14Clermont27771330:36-628
    15Nancy27761424:40-1627
    16Amiens27651630:46-1623
    17Laval273111321:39-1820
    18Bastia273101414:30-1619

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National