Montpellier vs Boulogne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
23/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 7
  • Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.29
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
623
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
84% (403/479)85% (341/403)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.32
Total shots
623
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
415
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1038
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
84% (403/479)85% (341/403)
Long passes
40% (18/45)50% (31/62)
Passes in final third
59% (38/64)71% (87/122)
Crosses
23% (3/13)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.18
Throw-ins
2419
Fouls
1416
Tackles
55% (12/22)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5952
Clearances
1518
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
2.320.98
Goals prevented
0.32-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Laporte J. 🟥,
  • 40', Mouanga Y. , Jullien C. ,
  • 43', Boyer J. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Jullien C. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Orakpo V. , Chennahi T. ,
  • 57', Binet N. 🟨,
  • 63', Mbuku N. , Mincarelli L. ,
  • 63', El Hannach N. , Mahboub F. ,
  • 68', Duflos S. , Boiteau L. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, El Farissi A. , Boiteau L. (A),
  • 78', Capuano G. , Fatou C. ,
  • 79', El Farissi A. , Fatar N. ,
  • 80', 0 - 3, Fatou C. (Pen),
  • 84', Binet N. , Toure H. ,
  • 84', Boyer J. , Kouassi E. ,
  • 89', Thiam D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, Savanier T. (Pen),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4992uk8a

Chances of winning


Montpellier
51.8%
Draw
28.4%
Boulogne
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 23.4% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 17.6% 24%

Montpellier - Boulogne Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.02
(1.59)
3.47
(3.98)
5.01
(5.15)
-1.6%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Boulogne?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Boulogne will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 75.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 50%). Boulogne (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Montpellier has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Boulogne has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Boulogne has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Montpellier is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Leg Injury) Gueguin A. (Inactive) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sishuba A. (Muscle Injury) Tchato E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Inactive) Toure H. (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Montpellier
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Bastia 2:0
    15.09.2025 Guingamp - Montpellier 1:0
    29.08.2025 Montpellier - Amiens 1:1
    23.08.2025 Troyes - Montpellier 1:0
    18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2
    Latest results of Boulogne
    19.09.2025 Boulogne - Pau 0:3
    16.09.2025 Boulogne - Bastia 1:0
    12.09.2025 Boulogne - Laval 1:2
    29.08.2025 Rodez - Boulogne 1:0
    23.08.2025 Boulogne - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1594227:141331
    2St Etienne1592433:221129
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Reims1574428:20825
    5Montpellier1573517:14324
    6Le Mans1566319:16324
    7Guingamp1565424:25-123
    8Pau FC1565421:23-223
    9Dunkerque1556426:18821
    10Annecy1554617:16119
    11Clermont1546515:19-418
    12Grenoble1545617:20-317
    13Rodez1545615:21-617
    14Laval1536612:16-415
    15Amiens1543819:24-515
    16Nancy1543814:21-715
    17Boulogne1543816:23-715
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National