Montpellier vs Boulogne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
23/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 7
  • Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.29
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
623
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
84% (403/479)85% (341/403)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.32
Total shots
623
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
415
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1038
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
84% (403/479)85% (341/403)
Long passes
40% (18/45)50% (31/62)
Passes in final third
59% (38/64)71% (87/122)
Crosses
23% (3/13)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.18
Throw-ins
2419
Fouls
1416
Tackles
55% (12/22)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5952
Clearances
1518
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
2.320.98
Goals prevented
0.32-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Laporte J. 🟥,
  • 40', Mouanga Y. , Jullien C. ,
  • 43', Boyer J. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Jullien C. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Orakpo V. , Chennahi T. ,
  • 57', Binet N. 🟨,
  • 63', Mbuku N. , Mincarelli L. ,
  • 63', El Hannach N. , Mahboub F. ,
  • 68', Duflos S. , Boiteau L. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, El Farissi A. , Boiteau L. (A),
  • 78', Capuano G. , Fatou C. ,
  • 79', El Farissi A. , Fatar N. ,
  • 80', 0 - 3, Fatou C. (Pen),
  • 84', Binet N. , Toure H. ,
  • 84', Boyer J. , Kouassi E. ,
  • 89', Thiam D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, Savanier T. (Pen),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4992uk8a

Chances of winning


Montpellier
51.8%
Draw
28.4%
Boulogne
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 23.4% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 17.6% 24%

Montpellier - Boulogne Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.02
(1.59)
3.47
(3.98)
5.01
(5.15)
-1.6%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Boulogne?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Boulogne will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 75.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 50%). Boulogne (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Montpellier has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Boulogne has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Boulogne has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Montpellier is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Leg Injury) Gueguin A. (Inactive) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sishuba A. (Muscle Injury) Tchato E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Inactive) Toure H. (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Montpellier
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Bastia 2:0
    15.09.2025 Guingamp - Montpellier 1:0
    29.08.2025 Montpellier - Amiens 1:1
    23.08.2025 Troyes - Montpellier 1:0
    18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2
    Latest results of Boulogne
    19.09.2025 Boulogne - Pau 0:3
    16.09.2025 Boulogne - Bastia 1:0
    12.09.2025 Boulogne - Laval 1:2
    29.08.2025 Rodez - Boulogne 1:0
    23.08.2025 Boulogne - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National