Result
1:3
23/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 7
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (403/479) | 85% (341/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.98 | 2.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 10 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (403/479) | 85% (341/403) |
| Long passes |
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| 40% (18/45) | 50% (31/62) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 59% (38/64) | 71% (87/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
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| 55% (12/22) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
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| 59 | 52 |
| Clearances |
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| 15 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 8 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.32 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.32 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', Laporte J. 🟥,
- 40', Mouanga Y. ↓, Jullien C. ↑,
- 43', Boyer J. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Jullien C. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Orakpo V. ↓, Chennahi T. ↑,
- 57', Binet N. 🟨,
- 63', Mbuku N. ↓, Mincarelli L. ↑,
- 63', El Hannach N. ↓, Mahboub F. ↑,
- 68', Duflos S. ↓, Boiteau L. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 2, El Farissi A. ⚽, Boiteau L. (A),
- 78', Capuano G. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
- 79', El Farissi A. ↓, Fatar N. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 3, Fatou C. (Pen),
- 84', Binet N. ↓, Toure H. ↑,
- 84', Boyer J. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
- 89', Thiam D. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Savanier T. (Pen),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4992uk8a
Chances of winning
Montpellier
51.8% | Draw
28.4% | Boulogne
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montpellier's form might have worsened.Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montpellier that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Montpellier - Boulogne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.59) |
3.47 ↓
(3.98) |
5.01 ↓
(5.15) |
-1.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Boulogne?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Boulogne will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 75.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 50%). Boulogne (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Montpellier has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Boulogne has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Boulogne has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Montpellier is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K.
(Leg Injury)
Gueguin A.
(Inactive)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
Sishuba A.
(Muscle Injury)
Tchato E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C.
(Inactive)
Lenogue X.
(Inactive)
Toure H.
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Boulogne?
Montpellier has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Montpellier?
Boulogne has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Boulogne were as follows:
Latest results of Montpellier
Latest results of Boulogne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
