Result
1:0
20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 24
- Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (194/267) | 81% (335/413) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (194/267) | 81% (335/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (19/61) | 50% (26/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/91) | 64% (77/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Mbuku N. 🟨,
- 43', Younoussa W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Laporte J. 🟨,
- 67', Issoufou Y. ↓, Sishuba A. ↑,
- 67', Sishuba A. 🟨,
- 69', Younoussa W. ↓, Trouillet A. ↑,
- 69', Saka M. ↓, Benchamma S. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Benchamma S. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
- 81', Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
- 81', Tchato E. ↓, El Hannach N. ↑,
- 83', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Issanchou Roubiou C. ↑,
- 90+2', Arconte T. ↓, Joly O. ↑,
- 90+2', Nagera K. ↓, Tebily H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rodez
33.3% | Draw
27.9% | Montpellier
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-4%)
Rodez - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↑
(2.57) |
3.36 ↑
(3.23) |
2.42 ↓
(2.61) |
6.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rodez - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).
- Rodez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Montpellier has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Rodez: Achi M.
(Inactive)
Jolibois C.
(Yellow Cards)
Margueron L.
(Inactive)
Ponti R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K.
(Yellow Cards)
Mouanga Y.
(Injury)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
Omeragic B.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Montpellier?
Rodez has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Rodez?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Montpellier were as follows:
31.10.2025
Montpellier
-
Rodez
2:0
18.07.2025
Montpellier
-
Rodez
0:2
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
