Montpellier vs Rodez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
31/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 13
  • Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.50
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
269
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
89% (511/572)67% (152/228)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.450.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.810.15
Total shots
269
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
185
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3418
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
89% (511/572)67% (152/228)
Long passes
63% (30/48)33% (18/54)
Passes in final third
78% (120/154)49% (35/72)
Crosses
33% (9/27)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.45
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1413
Tackles
69% (9/13)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4646
Clearances
3326
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.151.81
Goals prevented
0.15-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Mendes J. 🟨,
  • 30', Pays N. 🟨,
  • 36', Mendes J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Jullien C. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Savanier T. (Pen),
  • 60', 2 - 0, Mendy A. , Savanier T. (A),
  • 66', Baaloudj M. , Nagera K. ,
  • 67', Tourraine M. , Galves N. ,
  • 67', Pays N. , Orakpo V. ,
  • 67', Chennahi T. , Fayad K. ,
  • 72', Joly O. , Younoussa W. ,
  • 79', Benchamma S. , Tait F. ,
  • 79', Arconte T. , Balde I. ,
  • 86', Mbuku N. , Mincarelli L. ,
  • 86', Sainte-Luce T. , Sishuba A. ,
  • 86', El Hannach N. , Mouanga Y. ,

Chances of winning


Montpellier
51.2%
Draw
25.6%
Rodez
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 25.4% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 24.8% 26.6%

Montpellier - Rodez Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.83
(1.96)
3.65
(3.65)
3.95
(3.41)
7.4%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Rodez?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Montpellier (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Montpellier will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Montpellier will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).
    • Montpellier is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Rodez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Montpellier might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Inactive) Mouanga Y. (Injury) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rodez: Arconte T. (Yellow Cards) Corredor M. (Inactive) Issanchou Roubiou C. (Inactive) Margueron L. (Injury) Saka M. (Injury) Tebily H. (Injury) Trouillet A. (Ankle Injury) Vangi D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Montpellier won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Rodez were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Montpellier - Rodez 0:2
    Latest results of Montpellier
    28.10.2025 Clermont - Montpellier 1:1
    25.10.2025 Montpellier - Nancy 4:1
    18.10.2025 Dunkerque - Montpellier 0:1
    27.09.2025 Laval - Montpellier 0:1
    Latest results of Rodez
    28.10.2025 Rodez - Annecy 2:1
    25.10.2025 Amiens - Rodez 2:1
    17.10.2025 Rodez - Reims 2:2
    04.10.2025 Red Star - Rodez 1:1
    26.09.2025 Rodez - Pau 1:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes22125534:221241
    2Reims22116537:231439
    3Le Mans22109327:19839
    4St Etienne22114737:271037
    5Red Star22107530:22837
    6Dunkerque2297635:231234
    7Pau FC2297633:33034
    8Guingamp2296733:33033
    9Annecy2295828:22632
    10Montpellier2294924:22231
    11Rodez2279628:30-230
    12Grenoble2268824:29-526
    13Nancy22741120:30-1025
    14Boulogne22651123:33-1023
    15Clermont22571024:30-622
    16Amiens22641227:35-822
    17Laval22381115:30-1517
    18Bastia22371211:27-1616

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National