Saint-Étienne vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 22
  • Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.690.19
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
21
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
36
Passes
80% (347/433)81% (334/410)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.690.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.230.01
Total shots
104
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
92
Shots outside the box
12
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2112
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1915
Passes
80% (347/433)81% (334/410)
Long passes
29% (14/49)36% (14/39)
Passes in final third
57% (44/77)58% (55/95)
Crosses
50% (5/10)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.30
Throw ins
2423
Fouls
1519
Tackles
68% (13/19)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5954
Clearances
1919
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.010.23
Goals prevented
0.01-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Moueffek A. 🟨,
  • 59', Moueffek A. , Cardona I. ,
  • 66', Savanier T. , Fayad K. ,
  • 68', Issoufou Y. , Molebe E. ,
  • 70', Fayad K. 🟨,
  • 71', Gadegbeku L. , Kante A. ,
  • 71', Stassin L. , Duffus J. ,
  • 73', Sainte-Luce T. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 0, Le Cardinal J. , Miladinovic I. (A),
  • 88', Mbuku N. , Sishuba A. ,
  • 90+2', Davitashvili Z. , El Jamali N. ,

Chances of winning


Saint-Étienne
46.7%
Draw
25.8%
Montpellier
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 24.5% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 24% 23.4%

Saint-Étienne - Montpellier Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2
(1.78)
3.65
(3.81)
3.4
(4.08)
6.9%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Saint-Étienne (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Saint-Étienne (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Étienne will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Montpellier (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 4.
    • Saint-Étienne is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Montpellier has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Saint-Étienne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Montpellier has had a series of away games.
    • Saint-Étienne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Inactive) Ferreira J. (Red Card) Jaber M. (Injury) Lamba C. (Injury) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Ngosso G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Soumahoro A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Montpellier were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 0:2
    09.04.2025 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 0:2
    23.11.2024 Saint-Étienne - Montpellier 1:0
    31.07.2024 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    31.01.2026 Saint-Étienne - Boulogne 0:1
    24.01.2026 Reims - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    17.01.2026 Saint-Étienne - Clermont 1:0
    03.01.2026 Le Mans - Saint-Étienne 0:0
    21.12.2025 Nice - Saint-Étienne 2:1
    Latest results of Montpellier
    04.02.2026 Nice - Montpellier 3:2
    30.01.2026 Montpellier - Guingamp 3:1
    23.01.2026 Bastia - Montpellier 0:2
    16.01.2026 Boulogne - Montpellier 1:0
    11.01.2026 Metz - Montpellier 0:4
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes22125534:221241
    2Reims22116537:231439
    3Le Mans22109327:19839
    4St Etienne22114737:271037
    5Red Star22107530:22837
    6Dunkerque2297635:231234
    7Pau FC2297633:33034
    8Guingamp2296733:33033
    9Annecy2295828:22632
    10Montpellier2294924:22231
    11Rodez2279628:30-230
    12Grenoble2268824:29-526
    13Nancy22741120:30-1025
    14Boulogne22651123:33-1023
    15Clermont22571024:30-622
    16Amiens22641227:35-822
    17Laval22381115:30-1517
    18Bastia22371211:27-1616

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National