Result
0:2
04/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 9
- Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (272/339) | 87% (456/526) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (272/339) | 87% (456/526) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (21/37) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (59/93) | 76% (81/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/31) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.71 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Stassin L. (A),
- 23', 0 - 2, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Annan E. (A),
- 34', Jullien C. 🟨,
- 34', Annan E. 🟨,
- 39', Tardieu F. 🟨,
- 42', Omeragic B. 🟨,
- 45+3', 🟨,
- 45+4', Chennahi T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Boakye A. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
- 46', Lamba C. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
- 53', Nade M. 🟨,
- 76', Mbuku N. ↓, Orakpo V. ↑,
- 76', El Hannach N. ↓, Tchato E. ↑,
- 81', Savanier T. 🟨,
- 83', Davitashvili Z. 🟨,
- 87', Miladinovic I. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
- 87', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Old B. ↑,
- 89', Savanier T. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
- 89', Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↓, Mahboub F. ↑,
- 90+4', Stassin L. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Montpellier
24.4% | Draw
25.4% | Saint-Étienne
50.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montpellier's form might have worsened.Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Étienne's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montpellier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Étienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Montpellier - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.03 ↑
(2.99) |
3.82 ↑
(3.57) |
1.92 ↓
(2.31) |
3.1%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Saint-Étienne?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.
- Montpellier has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Saint-Étienne is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Saint-Étienne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K.
(Leg Injury)
Gueguin A.
(Inactive)
Laporte J.
(Red Card)
Mouanga Y.
(Injury)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
Sishuba A.
(Muscle Injury)
Tchato E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M.
(Red Card)
Ekwah P.
(Inactive)
Gadegbeku L.
(Inactive)
N'Guessan D.
(International duty)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Saint-Étienne?
Montpellier has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Montpellier?
Saint-Étienne has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
09.04.2025
Montpellier
-
Saint-Étienne
0:2
23.11.2024
Saint-Étienne
-
Montpellier
1:0
31.07.2024
Montpellier
-
Saint-Étienne
1:2
Latest results of Montpellier
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Amiens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Nancy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Annecy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
