Montpellier vs Saint-Étienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne
04/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Montpellier
31.5%
Draw
26.9%
Saint-Étienne
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 26.7% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 26.3% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Montpellier - Saint-Étienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.97
    (2.99)
    3.49
    (3.57)
    2.25
    (2.31)
    6.8%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.
    • Recent performances by Montpellier have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Saint-Étienne is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 0:2
    23.11.2024 Saint-Étienne - Montpellier 1:0
    31.07.2024 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    Latest results of Montpellier
    27.09.2025 Laval - Montpellier 0:1
    23.09.2025 Montpellier - Boulogne 1:3
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Bastia 2:0
    15.09.2025 Guingamp - Montpellier 1:0
    29.08.2025 Montpellier - Amiens 1:1
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    27.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Guingamp 2:3
    23.09.2025 Amiens - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    20.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Reims 3:2
    13.09.2025 Clermont - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    30.08.2025 Saint-Étienne - Grenoble 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes861117:71019
    2St Etienne852117:10717
    3Pau FC852113:7617
    4Red Star851214:8616
    5Reims842212:9314
    6Guingamp841314:17-313
    7Montpellier83238:8011
    8Nancy83238:9-111
    9Rodez83237:10-311
    10Clermont82428:10-210
    11Dunkerque823316:1429
    12Amiens823311:12-19
    13Le Mans82339:10-19
    14Annecy82249:12-38
    15Laval81437:11-47
    16Grenoble81346:10-46
    17Boulogne82066:11-56
    18Bastia80354:11-73

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National