Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 22
- Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (347/433) | 81% (334/410) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (347/433) | 81% (334/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (14/49) | 36% (14/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (44/77) | 58% (55/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Moueffek A. 🟨,
- 59', Moueffek A. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
- 66', Savanier T. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
- 68', Issoufou Y. ↓, Molebe E. ↑,
- 70', Fayad K. 🟨,
- 71', Gadegbeku L. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 71', Stassin L. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
- 73', Sainte-Luce T. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 0, Le Cardinal J. ⚽, Miladinovic I. (A),
- 88', Mbuku N. ↓, Sishuba A. ↑,
- 90+2', Davitashvili Z. ↓, El Jamali N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
46.7% | Draw
25.8% | Montpellier
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Étienne's form might have worsened.Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Saint-Étienne - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.78) |
3.65 ↓
(3.81) |
3.4 ↓
(4.08) |
6.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 40% – 93.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Saint-Étienne (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Saint-Étienne (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Étienne will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Montpellier (votes: 2 - 18.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 4.
- Saint-Étienne is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Montpellier has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Saint-Étienne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Montpellier has had a series of away games.
- Saint-Étienne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M.
(Inactive)
Ferreira J.
(Red Card)
Jaber M.
(Injury)
Lamba C.
(Injury)
N'Guessan D.
(Inactive)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Soumahoro A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Montpellier?
Saint-Étienne has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Saint-Étienne?
Montpellier has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Montpellier were as follows:
04.10.2025
Montpellier
-
Saint-Étienne
0:2
09.04.2025
Montpellier
-
Saint-Étienne
0:2
23.11.2024
Saint-Étienne
-
Montpellier
1:0
31.07.2024
Montpellier
-
Saint-Étienne
1:2
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
