Montpellier vs Saint-Étienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne
Result
0:2
04/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 9
  • Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.73
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
80% (272/339)87% (456/526)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.261.29
Total shots
198
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1618
Passes
80% (272/339)87% (456/526)
Long passes
57% (21/37)43% (23/53)
Passes in final third
63% (59/93)76% (81/107)
Crosses
10% (3/31)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.49
Throw-ins
2318
Fouls
1816
Tackles
76% (16/21)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5150
Clearances
1140
Interceptions
915
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.290.26
Goals prevented
-0.710.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Davitashvili Z. , Stassin L. (A),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Davitashvili Z. , Annan E. (A),
  • 34', Jullien C. 🟨,
  • 34', Annan E. 🟨,
  • 39', Tardieu F. 🟨,
  • 42', Omeragic B. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 🟨,
  • 45+4', Chennahi T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Boakye A. , Cardona I. ,
  • 46', Lamba C. , Appiah D. ,
  • 53', Nade M. 🟨,
  • 76', Mbuku N. , Orakpo V. ,
  • 76', El Hannach N. , Tchato E. ,
  • 81', Savanier T. 🟨,
  • 83', Davitashvili Z. 🟨,
  • 87', Miladinovic I. , Moueffek A. ,
  • 87', Davitashvili Z. , Old B. ,
  • 89', Savanier T. , Fayad K. ,
  • 89', Junior Pereira da Silva E. , Mahboub F. ,
  • 90+4', Stassin L. , Duffus J. ,

Chances of winning


Montpellier
24.4%
Draw
25.4%
Saint-Étienne
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 26.7% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 26.3% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montpellier's form might have worsened.
  • Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Étienne's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montpellier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Étienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Montpellier - Saint-Étienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (2.99)
    3.82
    (3.57)
    1.92
    (2.31)
    3.1%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Montpellier - Saint-Étienne?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.
    • Montpellier has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Saint-Étienne is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Saint-Étienne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Leg Injury) Gueguin A. (Inactive) Laporte J. (Red Card) Mouanga Y. (Injury) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sishuba A. (Muscle Injury) Tchato E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Red Card) Ekwah P. (Inactive) Gadegbeku L. (Inactive) N'Guessan D. (International duty)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 0:2
    23.11.2024 Saint-Étienne - Montpellier 1:0
    31.07.2024 Montpellier - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    Latest results of Montpellier
    27.09.2025 Laval - Montpellier 0:1
    23.09.2025 Montpellier - Boulogne 1:3
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Bastia 2:0
    15.09.2025 Guingamp - Montpellier 1:0
    29.08.2025 Montpellier - Amiens 1:1
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    27.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Guingamp 2:3
    23.09.2025 Amiens - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    20.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Reims 3:2
    13.09.2025 Clermont - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    30.08.2025 Saint-Étienne - Grenoble 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1173120:91124
    2Red Star1172217:9823
    3Pau FC1163217:12521
    4St Etienne1062221:13820
    5Reims1144316:15116
    6Le Mans1144315:14116
    7Guingamp1143418:22-415
    8Montpellier104249:10-114
    9Dunkerque1134419:15413
    10Rodez1034310:13-313
    11Clermont1134410:14-413
    12Amiens1033412:13-112
    13Nancy1033410:12-212
    14Annecy1033410:12-212
    15Grenoble1124511:14-310
    16Boulogne113179:14-510
    17Laval101547:12-58
    18Bastia100464:12-84

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National