Result
35:33
28/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (15 - 14)
- 2', Japaridze L. 🟨,
- 9', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 12', Maximin J. (Try),
- 12', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Riccitelli R. (Try),
- 20', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
- 29', Mondinat C. (Try),
- 34', Maximin J. 🟨,
- 36', Taofifenua D. (Try),
- 36', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (20 - 19)
- 46', (Penalty Try),
- 51', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 59', Isa F. (Try),
- 59', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Hewat R. 🟨,
- 64', Price A. (Try),
- 64', Coly L. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Taofifenua D. (Try),
- 74', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 80+4', (Try),
- 80+5', (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Section Paloise
72.6% | Draw
3.4% | Montpellier
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-17.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Section Paloise that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montpellier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Section Paloise - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.32) |
27.16 ↑
(21.67) |
3.85 ↑
(3.52) |
7.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
What is the prediction for Section Paloise - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Section Paloise will win (votes: 1 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 33:25.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 3.
- In recent matches, Section Paloise has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Montpellier is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Section Paloise may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Section Paloise is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 433:555. (average 21.7:27.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Section Paloise won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 278:222. (average 27.8:22.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Section Paloise won against Montpellier?
Section Paloise has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Section Paloise?
Montpellier has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Section Paloise - Montpellier were as follows:
22.03.2025
Section Paloise
-
Montpellier
40:38
23.11.2024
Montpellier
-
Section Paloise
30:3
20.04.2024
Section Paloise
-
Montpellier
31:23
27.01.2024
Montpellier
-
Section Paloise
22:17
28.05.2023
Section Paloise
-
Montpellier
35:10
Latest results of Section Paloise
Latest results of Montpellier
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 730:365 | 67 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 558:477 | 55 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 561:390 | 53 |
| 4 | Clermont | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 596:467 | 51 |
| 5 | Bordeaux Begles | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 591:483 | 50 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 513:448 | 49 |
| 7 | RC Toulonnais | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 465:536 | 45 |
| 8 | Racing 92 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 514:558 | 45 |
| 9 | Castres Olympique | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 431:501 | 42 |
| 10 | Stade Rochelais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 551:487 | 41 |
| 11 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 521:502 | 39 |
| 12 | Aviron Bayonnais | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 467:595 | 36 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 18 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 344:511 | 18 |
| 14 | Montauban | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 338:860 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
