Result
0:1
19/02/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 24
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
Chances of winning
Troyes
30.7% | Draw
29% | Montpellier
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troyes's form might have worsened.Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montpellier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Troyes - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(2.43) |
3.29 ↑
(3.24) |
2.39 ↓
(2.98) |
4.5%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Troyes - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Montpellier will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 18.5% – 61.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 14).
- Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (19.7%), has project points - 34, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (61%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Montpellier has the most likely position - 15 (19.46%), has project points - 39, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 48, importance 55, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1.
- Troyes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Montpellier is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Troyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Troyes: Bruus A.
(Injury)
Conte A.
(Injury)
Palaversa A.
(Injury)
Rami A.
(Injury)
Tardieu F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Bertaud D.
(Knee Injury)
Makouana B.
(Injury)
Mavididi S.
(Injury)
Mendes P.
(Thigh Injury)
Sainte-Luce T.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Montpellier?
Troyes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Troyes?
Montpellier has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Montpellier were as follows:
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
