Result
2:2
04/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 29
- Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (386/461) | 79% (261/330) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (386/461) | 79% (261/330) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 47% (27/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (78/105) | 68% (78/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.76 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Adeline M. ⚽, Bentayeb T. (A),
- 4', 1 - 1, Chennahi T. ⚽, Mendy A. (A),
- 40', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
- 45+1', Diawara S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Mendy A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Mendy A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Boura I. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 2, Bentayeb T. ⚽,
- 66', Molebe E. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
- 71', Fayad K. ↓, Gueguin A. ↑,
- 77', Mendy A. 🟨,
- 78', Maronnier L. 🟨,
- 80', Diop M. ↓, Phliponeau A. ↑,
- 80', Diawara K. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
- 90+1', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
- 90+1', Detourbet M. ↓, Ifnaoui M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Montpellier
31.9% | Draw
27.8% | Troyes
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Montpellier - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.73) |
3.38 ↑
(3.22) |
2.33 ↓
(2.54) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 8% – 64.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.
- Recent performances by Montpellier have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Troyes is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Montpellier: Jullien C.
(Red Card)
Ngosso G.
(Knee Injury)
Savanier T.
(Calf Injury)
Sishuba A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Troyes: Boucher Z.
(Inactive)
Gozzi P.
(Broken Leg)
Ifnaoui M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lemaitre N.
(Knee Injury)
Phliponeau A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Montpellier: Pays N.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Boura I.
(Hamstring Injury)
Maronnier L.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Troyes?
Montpellier has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Montpellier?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier - Troyes were as follows:
23.08.2025
Troyes
-
Montpellier
1:0
19.02.2023
Troyes
-
Montpellier
0:1
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National
