Result
1:1
02/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29
Chances of winning
Puebla de la Calzada
23.2% | Draw
26.8% | Moralo
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla de la Calzada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moralo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moralo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puebla de la Calzada - Moralo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.95 ↑
(3.25) |
3.42 ↑
(3.2) |
1.83 ↓
(2.12) |
9.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
- Puebla has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Moralo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Moralo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Puebla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla de la Calzada won against Moralo?
Puebla de la Calzada has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moralo won against Puebla de la Calzada?
Moralo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla de la Calzada - Moralo were as follows:
22.11.2025
Moralo
-
Puebla de la Calzada
1:1
10.05.2025
Puebla de la Calzada
-
Moralo
2:3
12.01.2025
Moralo
-
Puebla de la Calzada
5:2
Latest results of Puebla de la Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 59:19 | 40 | 64 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 59 |
| 3 | Moralo | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 46:27 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:27 | 21 | 52 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 39:23 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37:33 | 4 | 44 |
| 9 | Montijo | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 30 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 50:44 | 6 | 38 |
| 11 | Llerenense | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Santa Amalia | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:46 | -17 | 33 |
| 13 | Puebla | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28:40 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Diocesano | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 28:49 | -21 | 28 |
| 15 | Gevora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28:48 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 24:51 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | CD Calamonte | 30 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Montehermoso | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 20:54 | -34 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
