Result
1:1
02/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29
Chances of winning
Puebla de la Calzada
23.2% | Draw
26.8% | Moralo
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla de la Calzada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moralo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moralo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puebla de la Calzada - Moralo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.95 ↑
(3.25) |
3.42 ↑
(3.2) |
1.83 ↓
(2.12) |
9.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
- Puebla has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Moralo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Moralo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Puebla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla de la Calzada won against Moralo?
Puebla de la Calzada has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moralo won against Puebla de la Calzada?
Moralo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla de la Calzada - Moralo were as follows:
22.11.2025
Moralo
-
Puebla de la Calzada
1:1
10.05.2025
Puebla de la Calzada
-
Moralo
2:3
12.01.2025
Moralo
-
Puebla de la Calzada
5:2
Latest results of Puebla de la Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 69:21 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 61:27 | 34 | 68 |
| 3 | Azuaga | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 53:30 | 23 | 62 |
| 4 | Moralo | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 61 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 56 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 33 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 51:50 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Puebla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 12 | Llerenense | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 32:50 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 28:55 | -27 | 30 |
| 16 | Diocesano | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29:59 | -30 | 29 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 33 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 24:44 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
