Montehermoso vs Moralo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 75', 0 - 1, ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Montehermoso
18.8%
Draw
28.2%
Moralo
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.5% 28.5% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5% 28.6% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Montehermoso - Moralo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.83
    (4.68)
    3.22
    (3.2)
    1.71
    (1.75)
    10.2%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
    • Montehermoso has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Moralo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Moralo is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Montehermoso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Montehermoso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montehermoso - Moralo were as follows:
    03.12.2023 Moralo - Montehermoso 1:0
    14.01.2023 Moralo - Montehermoso 7:0
    11.09.2022 Montehermoso - Moralo 0:1
    Latest results of Montehermoso
    15.03.2026 Diocesano - Montehermoso 0:0
    08.03.2026 Montehermoso - Villafranca 1:0
    01.03.2026 Don Benito - Montehermoso 3:1
    14.02.2026 Azuaga - Montehermoso 1:0
    Latest results of Moralo
    15.03.2026 Moralo - Villanovense 3:0
    08.03.2026 Cabeza del Buey - Moralo 1:3
    01.03.2026 Moralo - Llerenense 3:0
    22.02.2026 Badajoz - Moralo 0:1
    15.02.2026 Moralo - Pueblonuevo 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito32207561:204167
    2CD Badajoz32215658:273165
    3Azuaga33188753:302362
    4Moralo321610651:312058
    5Cabeza del Buey321412643:271654
    6Jaraiz321411750:321853
    7Villafranca321561139:35451
    8Villanovense321481042:35750
    9Montijo331271441:41043
    10Jerez CF32717850:48238
    11Puebla339111335:47-1238
    12Llerenense331081532:43-1138
    13Santa Amalia32971629:48-1934
    14Gevora32881631:49-1832
    15Diocesano326111528:51-2329
    16Pueblonuevo32851927:54-2729
    17Montehermoso32581923:58-3523
    18CD Calamonte323131624:41-1722

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation