Result
2:2
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 43
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Albania | DAZN |
Argentina | DAZN |
Australia | DAZN |
Austria | DAZN |
Belarus | DAZN |
Bolivia | DAZN |
Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
Bulgaria | DAZN |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Colombia | DAZN |
Croatia | DAZN |
Cyprus | DAZN |
Czech-republic | DAZN |
Denmark | DAZN |
Ecuador | DAZN |
Finland | DAZN |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | DAZN |
Hong-kong | DAZN |
Hungary | DAZN |
India | DAZN |
Indonesia | DAZN |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | DAZN |
Latvia | DAZN |
Lithuania | DAZN |
Malaysia | DAZN |
Mexico | DAZN |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
Nigeria | DAZN |
North-macedonia | DAZN |
Norway | DAZN |
Paraguay | DAZN |
Philippines | DAZN |
Poland | DAZN |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | DAZN |
Russia | DAZN |
Serbia | DAZN |
Slovenia | DAZN |
South-africa | DAZN |
South-korea | DAZN |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | DAZN |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Taiwan | DAZN |
Thailand | DAZN |
Ukraine | DAZN |
United-arab-emirates | DAZN |
United-kingdom | DAZN |
Uruguay | DAZN |
Usa | DAZN USA |
Uzbekistan | DAZN |
Venezuela | DAZN |
Vietnam | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Gilliead A. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
- 32', 1 - 0, Edwards G. ⚽, Lewis P. (A),
- 45+2', Galvin R. 🟨,
- 45+2', Lewis P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', 1 - 1, Linney R. ⚽, Ajiboye D. (A),
- 64', Songo'o Y. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Ajiboye D. ⚽, Breeze G. (A),
- 71', Kelly G. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
- 75', Lewis P. ↓, Ogwuru D. ↑,
- 75', Popov C. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Macadam H. (Own goal),
- 85', Wyke Ch. 🟨,
- 85', Azeez M. 🟨,
- 90', Edwards G. ↓, Conte R. ↑,
- 90', Linney R. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
- 90', Wearne S. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Morecambe 24.9% | Draw 23.6% | Carlisle United 51.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Morecambe - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.7 ↑ (3.62) |
3.93 ↓ (4.1) |
1.81 ↑ (1.8) |
7.8% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Morecambe - Carlisle United?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Carlisle United will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 1.
- Morecambe is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Carlisle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Carlisle is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Carlisle United?
Morecambe has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Morecambe?
Carlisle United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Carlisle United were as follows:
30.12.2025
Carlisle United
-
Morecambe
1:0
12.04.2025
Morecambe
-
Carlisle United
0:2
26.12.2024
Carlisle United
-
Morecambe
0:1
12.11.2024
Morecambe
-
Carlisle United
1:2
Latest results of Morecambe
Latest results of Carlisle United
English National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | York City | 44 | 32 | 8 | 4 | 110:40 | 70 | 104 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 44 | 32 | 6 | 6 | 85:39 | 46 | 102 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 44 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 83:51 | 32 | 89 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 91:58 | 33 | 84 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 44 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 76:60 | 16 | 81 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 44 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 76:50 | 26 | 78 |
| 7 | Southend | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:40 | 30 | 72 |
| 8 | FC Halifax | 44 | 19 | 10 | 15 | 66:60 | 6 | 67 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 47:52 | -5 | 62 |
| 10 | Woking | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 66:53 | 13 | 59 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 57:69 | -12 | 58 |
| 12 | Wealdstone | 43 | 15 | 9 | 19 | 64:70 | -6 | 54 |
| 13 | Solihull Moors | 43 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 67:68 | -1 | 52 |
| 14 | Boston Utd | 43 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 56:65 | -9 | 52 |
| 15 | Altrincham | 44 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 50:63 | -13 | 51 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 44 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 47:61 | -14 | 51 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 44 | 14 | 8 | 22 | 53:84 | -31 | 50 |
| 18 | Sutton | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 58:76 | -18 | 47 |
| 19 | Aldershot | 43 | 13 | 7 | 23 | 68:81 | -13 | 46 |
| 20 | Eastleigh | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 55:79 | -24 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley Town ✔ | 44 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 38:71 | -33 | 39 |
| 22 | Morecambe ✔ | 44 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 66:95 | -29 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree ✔ | 44 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 36:69 | -33 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro ✔ | 44 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 40:71 | -31 | 31 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Brackley Town is Relegated to
Morecambe is Relegated to
Braintree is Relegated to
Truro is Relegated to