Result
0:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 42
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (175/294) | 56% (156/278) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (175/294) | 56% (156/278) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (28/99) | 32% (30/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (70/144) | 43% (53/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.89 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 67 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Kelly G. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
- 36', Angol L. 🟨,
- 38', Whelan C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tutonda D. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
- 46', Hope H. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
- 46', Dallas A. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
- 46', Williams R. ↓, Fairclough A. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 2, Thomas T. ⚽,
- 71', White T. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 75', Breeze G. 🟨,
- 76', Fusire S. ↓, Vela J. ↑,
- 80', Dennis M. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
- 89', Wearne S. ↓, Guy C. ↑,
- 89', Whelan C. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Morecambe
41.9% | Draw
26.2% | Carlisle United
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Morecambe - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.32) |
3.55 ↑
(3.41) |
2.98 ↑
(2.92) |
6.2%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G.
(Injury)
Hendrie L.
(Inactive)
Macadam H.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Injury)
Ray G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There will not play in Carlisle: Davies A.
(Injury)
Dummett P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Embleton E.
(Red Card)
Jones J.
(Inactive)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Morecambe: Millen R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Carlisle: Dennis M.
(Inactive)
Harper C.
(Injury)
Hayden A.
(Inactive)
Lavelle S.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:30 (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:17 (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Carlisle United?
Morecambe has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Morecambe?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Carlisle United were as follows:
26.12.2024
Carlisle United
-
Morecambe
0:1
12.11.2024
Morecambe
-
Carlisle United
1:2
Latest results of Morecambe
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Swindon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Bromley | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Crewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Salford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Harrogate | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Colchester | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Oldham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Barnet | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | Crawley | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 23 | Cheltenham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 24 | Accrington | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
