Morecambe vs Salford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two
Football English League Two Morecambe - Salford City
Result
1:3
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 44
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.713.25
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1330
Shots on target
213
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
65% (163/249)77% (227/295)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
0.713.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.902.39
Total shots
1330
Shots on target
213
Shots off target
512
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
1021
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
2141
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
65% (163/249)77% (227/295)
Long passes
33% (21/63)54% (34/63)
Passes in final third
56% (44/79)71% (100/140)
Crosses
14% (3/21)29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.431.80
Fouls
1515
Tackles
71% (12/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5071
Clearances Total
2939
Interceptions
314
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
101
xGOT faced
2.390.90
Goals prevented
-0.61-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Ashley O. ⚽,
  • 41', 0 - 2, Stockton C. ⚽, Woodburn B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mnoga H. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Songo'o Y. ⚽,
  • 59', Lewis A. 🟨,
  • 66', Dallas A. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
  • 66', Songo'o Y. 🟨,
  • 67', White T. 🟨,
  • 76', Lewis P. ↓, Hope H. ↑,
  • 83', Tollitt B. ↓, Fairclough A. ↑,
  • 83', Angol L. ↓, Whaite B. ↑,
  • 86', 1 - 3, N'Mai K. ⚽, Adelakun H. (A),
  • 89', Adelakun H. ↓, Edwards T. ↑,
  • 90', Woodburn B. ↓, Lund M. ↑,
  • 90+3', Fairclough A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ashley O. ↓, Watson R. ↑,
  • 90+4', Stockton C. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Morecambe
27.1%		Draw
26.8%		Salford City
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 28.3% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 27.2% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
    •

    Morecambe - Salford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.46 ↑
    (3)    		 3.5 ↑
    (3.32)    		 2.05 ↓
    (2.32)    		 6.3%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Morecambe - Salford City?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Salford will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 41.6% – 98.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Salford (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Salford City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Salford will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Tutonda D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Salford: Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Kouassi K. (Injury) McAleny C. (Injury) Negru S. (Inactive) Okoronkwo F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Morecambe: Millen R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Salford: Shephard L. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Salford City were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Salford City - Morecambe 1:0
    17.03.2024 Salford City - Morecambe 3:1
    02.09.2023 Morecambe - Salford City 1:0
    Latest results of Morecambe
    18.04.2025 Bromley - Morecambe 1:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Morecambe - Carlisle United 0:2
    05.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:1 ✺
    01.04.2025 Morecambe - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Salford City
    18.04.2025 Salford City - Accrington Stanley 1:2 ✺
    15.04.2025 Salford City - Doncaster Rovers 1:1 ✺
    11.04.2025 Notts County - Salford City 1:3 ✺
    05.04.2025 Salford City - Gillingham 2:2 ✺
    01.04.2025 Barrow - Salford City 1:1 ✺
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colchester00000:000
    2Bristol Rovers00000:000
    3Cheltenham00000:000
    4Crewe00000:000
    5Gillingham00000:000
    6Oldham00000:000
    7Swindon00000:000
    8Tranmere00000:000
    9Walsall00000:000
    10Accrington00000:000
    11Barnet00000:000
    12Chesterfield00000:000
    13Grimsby00000:000
    14MK Dons00000:000
    15Notts Co00000:000
    16Shrewsbury00000:000
    17Cambridge Utd00000:000
    18Crawley00000:000
    19Barrow00000:000
    20Bromley00000:000
    21Newport00000:000
    22Harrogate00000:000
    23Fleetwood00000:000
    24Salford00000:000

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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