Result
1:0
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 39
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (191/288) | 75% (307/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (191/288) | 75% (307/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (36/79) | 44% (40/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (63/126) | 52% (52/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 47 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 41 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Angol L. ⚽, Dallas A. (A),
- 41', Nichols T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cain J. ↓, Cox G. ↑,
- 64', Ameen B. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 65', Nichols T. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
- 65', Ofoborh N. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
- 65', Kilkenny G. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
- 71', Dallas A. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 72', Hope H. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
- 73', White T. 🟨,
- 81', Angol L. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Morecambe
30.2% | Draw
27.4% | Swindon Town
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Morecambe - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↓
(3.22) |
3.41 ↓
(3.42) |
2.21 ↑
(2.14) |
6.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Morecambe - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
- Morecambe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Swindon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Swindon will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Morecambe: Hendrie L.
(Inactive)
Macadam H.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Injury)
Ray G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Schofield R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A.
(Knee Injury)
Hall G.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Morecambe: Edwards G.
(Injury)
Jones C.
(Injury)
Lewis P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R.
(Injury)
McGregor J.
(Inactive)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Swindon Town?
Morecambe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Morecambe?
Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Swindon Town were as follows:
23.11.2024
Swindon Town
-
Morecambe
2:3
27.04.2024
Swindon Town
-
Morecambe
3:3
23.09.2023
Morecambe
-
Swindon Town
2:2
Latest results of Morecambe
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 38 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 61:36 | 25 | 76 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 75:37 | 38 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 37 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 55:28 | 27 | 69 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 60:37 | 23 | 67 |
| 5 | Salford | 38 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 54:47 | 7 | 67 |
| 6 | Swindon | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 62:45 | 17 | 66 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 51:40 | 11 | 59 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 60:52 | 8 | 59 |
| 9 | Crewe | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:47 | 7 | 57 |
| 10 | Walsall | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 46:40 | 6 | 57 |
| 11 | Oldham | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 43:31 | 12 | 55 |
| 12 | Barnet | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 46:42 | 4 | 54 |
| 13 | Colchester | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 51 |
| 15 | Accrington | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 45 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 41:60 | -19 | 42 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 37:59 | -22 | 41 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 38:59 | -21 | 40 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 48:68 | -20 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:59 | -23 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 38:65 | -27 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29:57 | -28 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 36:58 | -22 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
