Morecambe vs Swindon Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe).

: League Two - Round 39
Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.39	0.40
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
66% (191/288)	75% (307/407)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39	0.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.32	0.27
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
6	2
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
22	10
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
13	10
Passes
66% (191/288)	75% (307/407)
Long passes
46% (36/79)	44% (40/91)
Passes in final third
50% (63/126)	52% (52/100)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.39	0.28
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
73% (8/11)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
52	47
Clearances Total
41	22
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.27	0.32
Goals prevented
0.22	-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Angol L. ⚽, Dallas A. (A),
41', Nichols T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cain J. ↓, Cox G. ↑,
64', Ameen B. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
65', Nichols T. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
65', Ofoborh N. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
65', Kilkenny G. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
71', Dallas A. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
72', Hope H. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
73', White T. 🟨,
81', Angol L. ↓, Slew J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Morecambe
30.2%

Draw
27.4%

Swindon Town
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

27.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.1%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Morecambe - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.22)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	2.21 ↑ (2.14)	6.5% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Morecambe - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
Morecambe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Swindon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Swindon will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Morecambe: Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Schofield R. (Injury)
There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Jones C. (Injury) Lewis P. (Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R. (Injury) McGregor J. (Inactive)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1.1:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Swindon Town?

Morecambe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Morecambe?

Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Swindon Town were as follows:

23.11.2024 Swindon Town - Morecambe 2:3

27.04.2024 Swindon Town - Morecambe 3:3

23.09.2023 Morecambe - Swindon Town 2:2

Latest results of Morecambe

22.03.2025 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Gillingham - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

22.03.2025 Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town 3:3 ✺

08.03.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Swindon Town 2:2 ✺

04.03.2025 Swindon Town - Salford City 2:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Walsall - Swindon Town 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Morecambe - Swindon Town?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: