Moreirense vs Farense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
19/01/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 18
  • Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.600.34
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
145
Shots on Goal
40
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Free Kicks
1416
Offsides
22
Fouls
1614
Yellow Cards
24
Throw-ins
3016
Touches in the Opposition Box
2414
Passes
83% (406/488)65% (167/256)
Passes in the final third
75% (131/175)45% (39/86)
Crosses
15% (4/27)25% (4/16)
Tackles
78% (14/18)71% (12/17)
Clearances Total
1930
Interceptions
814

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Pastor 🟨,
  • 37', Matias M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Frimpong G. 🟨,
  • 61', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
  • 67', Madson , Santos P. ,
  • 67', Ofori L. , Tavares S. ,
  • 67', Jaiminho , Millan A. ,
  • 67', Poveda D. , Balde E. ,
  • 73', Gabrielzinho , Bernardo ,
  • 73', Asue L. , Guilherme Schettine ,
  • 76', Jorge A. 🟨,
  • 84', Paulo Victor , Derick Poloni ,
  • 84', Matias M. , Merghem M. ,
  • 87', Ramos R. 🟨,
  • 90', Alan , Antonisse J. ,
  • 90+3', Menino M. , Soares F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Moreirense
46.4%
Draw
30.6%
Farense
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 28.1% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 29.4% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Moreirense - Farense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.9)
    3.09
    (3.35)
    4.07
    (4.19)
    6.2%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Moreirense - Farense?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Farense will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 19.5%68.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 3.
    • Moreirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Farense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Farense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Moreirense is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Farense: Moreno M. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Moreirense: Hernani Infande (Knee Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Farense were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Farense - Moreirense 1:2
    24.02.2024 Farense - Moreirense 0:1
    23.09.2023 Moreirense - Farense 1:0
    23.07.2023 Moreirense - Farense 1:2
    07.04.2023 Farense - Moreirense 3:1
    Latest results of Moreirense
    12.01.2025 Gil Vicente - Moreirense 1:0
    04.01.2025 Moreirense - AVS 1:1
    28.12.2024 Estoril Praia - Moreirense 2:2
    21.12.2024 Moreirense - Porto 0:3
    14.12.2024 Nacional - Moreirense 1:0
    Latest results of Farense
    14.01.2025 Farense - Benfica 1:3
    05.01.2025 Santa Clara - Farense 0:0
    21.12.2024 Famalicão - Farense 1:2
    14.12.2024 Farense - Gil Vicente 0:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto ✔ 32274164:154985
    2Benfica322210069:224776
    3Sporting CP32237282:235976
    4Braga32169760:322857
    5Famalicao321410841:291252
    6Gil Vicente321311846:321450
    7Vitoria Guimaraes321261439:48-942
    8Moreirense321261437:47-1042
    9Estoril321081452:53-138
    10Alverca321081434:50-1638
    11Arouca321061641:62-2136
    12Rio Ave328111333:52-1935
    13Santa Clara32891530:40-1033
    14Nacional32871735:43-831
    15Estrela326101636:54-1828
    16Casa Pia325111629:56-2726
    17Tondela325101724:52-2825
    18AFS ✔ 322111924:66-4217

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2