Result
1:0
20/04/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Torres M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Portugal | TVI, V+ TVI |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (295/391) | 80% (421/525) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (295/391) | 80% (421/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (24/70) | 44% (26/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (69/106) | 49% (49/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Alanzinho ⚽, Assis A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Peixinho ↓, Carvalho J. ↑,
- 53', Jandro ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
- 53', Pizzi ↓, Holsgrove J. ↑,
- 63', Assis A. ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
- 63', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
- 72', Ferro 🟨,
- 73', Xeka ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 79', Landerson ↓, Santos L. ↑,
- 79', Carvalho P. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 90', Alanzinho ↓, Gower J. ↑,
- 90+3', Tsoungui A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Moreirense
31% | Draw
27% | Estoril Praia
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Moreirense - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(2.98) |
3.48 ↑
(3.35) |
2.27 ↓
(2.36) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Estoril will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 33.2% – 76.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75 - Moreirense (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Moreirense (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Moreirense (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Moreirense (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Moreirense (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Moreirense (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - Moreirense (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 2.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Estoril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Moreirense: Maracas
(Yellow Cards)
Martinez A.
(Muscle Injury)
Michel
(Muscle Injury)
Pinto D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Santos L.
(Injury)
Sousa V.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Estoril: Boma K.
(Muscle Injury)
Sanchez R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Estoril Praia?
Moreirense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Moreirense?
Estoril Praia has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Estoril Praia were as follows:
07.12.2025
Estoril Praia
-
Moreirense
3:3
11.05.2025
Moreirense
-
Estoril Praia
2:2
28.12.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Moreirense
2:2
18.05.2024
Moreirense
-
Estoril Praia
2:1
13.01.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Moreirense
1:3
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
