Result
04/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Nacional
40% | Draw
30.1% | Moreirense
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Nacional - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.3) |
3.14 ↓
(3.21) |
3.16 ↑
(3.15) |
5.7%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Nacional might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:32. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Moreirense?
Nacional has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Nacional?
Moreirense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional - Moreirense were as follows:
27.04.2025
Moreirense
-
Nacional
1:1
14.12.2024
Nacional
-
Moreirense
1:0
18.03.2023
Nacional
-
Moreirense
0:2
09.10.2022
Moreirense
-
Nacional
3:1
Latest results of Nacional
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
| 11 | Estrela | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Nacional | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Estoril | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
