Moreirense vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Moreirense - Nacional
Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 31
  • Referee: Vieira B. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.52
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
84% (368/440)78% (246/314)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.560.83
Total shots
818
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
311
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1423
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
84% (368/440)78% (246/314)
Long passes
39% (13/33)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
66% (63/96)61% (56/92)
Crosses
23% (3/13)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.61
Throw-ins
2222
Fouls
1013
Tackles
58% (7/12)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
2125
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.830.56
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Ramos R. , Bernardo ,
  • 61', Yamada F. , Dudu ,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Yan Maranhao ,
  • 66', Yan Maranhao , Antonisse J. ,
  • 66', Teguia C. , Guilherme Schettine ,
  • 74', Daniel Penha , Labidi C. ,
  • 74', Paulinho Boia , Macedo R. ,
  • 79', Bernardo 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Ze Vitor ,
  • 88', Jorquera Romero J. , Asue L. ,
  • 88', Joel , Aurelio J. ,
  • 88', Esteves L. , Sousa A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Moreirense
37.1%
Draw
30.7%
Nacional
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 29.8% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 29.7% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreirense's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Moreirense - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.24)
    3.09
    (3.16)
    2.96
    (3.38)
    5.4%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Moreirense - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Moreirense will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato (Knee Injury) Hernani Infande (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M. (Muscle Injury) Encarnacao R. (Red Card) Fernandes I. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Nacional: Sousa D. (Inactive)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 31:13 (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Nacional were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Nacional - Moreirense 1:0
    18.03.2023 Nacional - Moreirense 0:2
    09.10.2022 Moreirense - Nacional 3:1
    Latest results of Moreirense
    Latest results of Nacional
    19.04.2025 Nacional - Gil Vicente 0:3
    12.04.2025 Boavista - Nacional 0:1
    30.03.2025 Santa Clara - Nacional 1:0
    08.03.2025 Benfica - Nacional 3:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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