Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Vieira B. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (368/440) | 78% (246/314) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (368/440) | 78% (246/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (13/33) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (63/96) | 61% (56/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Ramos R. ↓, Bernardo ↑,
- 61', Yamada F. ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Yan Maranhao ⚽,
- 66', Yan Maranhao ↓, Antonisse J. ↑,
- 66', Teguia C. ↓, Guilherme Schettine ↑,
- 74', Daniel Penha ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
- 74', Paulinho Boia ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 79', Bernardo 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 1, Ze Vitor ⚽,
- 88', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
- 88', Joel ↓, Aurelio J. ↑,
- 88', Esteves L. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Moreirense
37.1% | Draw
30.7% | Nacional
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreirense's form might have worsened.Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Moreirense - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.24) |
3.09 ↓
(3.16) |
2.96 ↓
(3.38) |
5.4%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Moreirense will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato
(Knee Injury)
Hernani Infande
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Encarnacao R.
(Red Card)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Sousa D.
(Inactive)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 31:13 (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Nacional?
Moreirense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Moreirense?
Nacional has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Nacional were as follows:
14.12.2024
Nacional
-
Moreirense
1:0
18.03.2023
Nacional
-
Moreirense
0:2
09.10.2022
Moreirense
-
Nacional
3:1
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
