Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Vieira B. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.49 | 0.52 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
84% (368/440) | 78% (246/314) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.49 | 0.52 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.56 | 0.83 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
84% (368/440) | 78% (246/314) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (13/33) | 50% (32/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (63/96) | 61% (56/92) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (3/13) | 37% (7/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.70 | 0.61 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (7/12) | 76% (13/17) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.83 | 0.56 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.17 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Ramos R. ↓, Bernardo ↑,
- 61', Yamada F. ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Yan Maranhao ⚽,
- 66', Yan Maranhao ↓, Antonisse J. ↑,
- 66', Teguia C. ↓, Guilherme Schettine ↑,
- 74', Daniel Penha ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
- 74', Paulinho Boia ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 79', Bernardo 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 1, Ze Vitor ⚽,
- 88', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
- 88', Joel ↓, Aurelio J. ↑,
- 88', Esteves L. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Moreirense 37.1% | Draw 30.7% | Nacional 32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreirense's form might have worsened.Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Moreirense - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↑ (2.24) |
3.09 ↓ (3.16) |
2.96 ↓ (3.38) |
5.4% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Moreirense will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato
(Knee Injury)
Hernani Infande
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Encarnacao R.
(Red Card)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Sousa D.
(Inactive)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 31:13 (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Nacional?
Moreirense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Moreirense?
Nacional has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Nacional were as follows:
14.12.2024
Nacional
-
Moreirense
1:0
18.03.2023
Nacional
-
Moreirense
0:2
09.10.2022
Moreirense
-
Nacional
3:1
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2