Naval vs Mortágua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 23

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
37
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
64
Total shots
37
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
03
Corner kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', 1 - 0, ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Naval
44.2%
Draw
29.3%
Mortágua
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 29.7% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 29.1% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Naval - Mortágua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.23)
    3.08
    (3)
    3.4
    (2.95)
    10.7%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 6).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Naval could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naval won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naval - Mortágua were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Mortágua - Naval 2:2
    Latest results of Naval
    15.03.2026 Fatima - Naval 0:1
    08.03.2026 Naval - Samora Correia 2:1
    04.03.2026 Marinhense - Naval 2:1
    28.02.2026 Peniche - Naval 2:0
    22.02.2026 Naval - Oliveira Hospital 0:0
    Latest results of Mortágua
    15.03.2026 Mortágua - Lajense 1:1
    08.03.2026 Mortágua - Fatima 0:1
    01.03.2026 Samora Correia - Mortágua 1:0
    22.02.2026 Mortágua - Peniche 2:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache22155230:82250
    2SB Castelo Branco22133639:201942
    3Naval 189323125632:221041
    4Uniao Da Serra22117432:191340
    5Oliveira Hospital22108430:121838
    6Mortagua2296720:22-233
    7Os Marialvas2294930:26431
    8Peniche2276926:32-627
    9Lajense2368930:31-126
    10Fatima2267918:24-625
    11Marinhense2258915:28-1323
    12Electrico23541431:55-2419
    13Samora Correia22451314:29-1517
    14SC Lusitania23441521:40-1916

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