Result
0:1
24/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
SC Lusitânia
22.6% | Draw
30.3% | Mortágua
47.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SC Lusitânia's form might have worsened.Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mortágua's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
SC Lusitânia - Mortágua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(3.17) |
2.98 ↓
(3) |
1.92 ↓
(2.22) |
10.6%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 5).
- SC Lusitânia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mortágua's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mortágua will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SC Lusitânia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has SC Lusitânia won against Mortágua?
SC Lusitânia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mortágua won against SC Lusitânia?
Mortágua has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SC Lusitânia - Mortágua were as follows:
12.10.2025
Mortágua
-
SC Lusitânia
0:2
24.03.2024
SC Lusitânia
-
Mortágua
2:3
10.12.2023
Mortágua
-
SC Lusitânia
1:2
Latest results of SC Lusitânia
Latest results of Mortágua
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
