Mortágua vs Vitória de Sernache – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
14/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
103
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
103

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 75', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Mortágua
33.2%
Draw
32.6%
Vitória de Sernache
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 29.8% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 30.6% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Mortágua - Vitória de Sernache Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.6)
    2.78
    (3)
    2.66
    (2.5)
    10.1%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Mortágua has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mortágua won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mortágua won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mortágua - Vitória de Sernache were as follows:
    07.01.2024 Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua 1:1
    20.08.2023 Mortágua - Vitória de Sernache 1:1
    Latest results of Mortágua
    07.12.2025 Os Marialvas - Mortágua 0:1
    29.11.2025 Mortágua - Naval 2:2
    08.11.2025 Lajense - Mortágua 1:1
    02.11.2025 Fatima - Mortágua 1:3
    Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache19135128:72144
    2SB Castelo Branco19112635:191635
    3Naval 18931995526:19732
    4Mortagua1995519:18132
    5Oliveira Hospital1987423:111231
    6Uniao Da Serra1987429:191031
    7Os Marialvas1873825:22324
    8Peniche1966721:26-524
    9Fatima1957717:21-422
    10Lajense2057826:28-222
    11Marinhense1747611:20-919
    12Samora Correia19451013:25-1217
    13SC Lusitania20441220:34-1416
    14Electrico20341323:47-2413

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation