Result
1:0
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Vitória de Sernache
53.1% | Draw
30.3% | Mortágua
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)The ML Model estimate for Vitória de Sernache aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.78) |
2.99 ↓
(3.2) |
5.46 ↑
(4.6) |
10.6%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 6).
- Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
- In recent matches, Sernache has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mortágua is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mortágua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mortágua has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Sernache is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sernache won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sernache won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória de Sernache won against Mortágua?
Vitória de Sernache has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mortágua won against Vitória de Sernache?
Mortágua has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória de Sernache - Mortágua were as follows:
14.12.2025
Mortágua
-
Vitória de Sernache
0:1
07.01.2024
Vitória de Sernache
-
Mortágua
1:1
20.08.2023
Mortágua
-
Vitória de Sernache
1:1
Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
Latest results of Mortágua
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
