Result
4:1
24/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 6
- Referee: Johnson A. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Emmanuel P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Micallef N. ↓, Mbende E. ↑,
- 50', Daniel GTA 🟨,
- 55', Daniel GTA ↓, Chibuike C. ↑,
- 61', Azzopardi J. ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Yuri ⚽,
- 67', Bolanos M. 🟨,
- 73', 2 - 1, Radic S. ⚽,
- 76', Farrugia K. ↓, Giancarlo ↑,
- 76', Diarra A. ↓, Okereke C. ↑,
- 76', Emmanuel P. ↓, Brincat Z. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, Zammit A. ⚽,
- 80', Gomes E. 🟨,
- 80', Okereke C. 🟨,
- 82', 4 - 1, Thaylor ⚽,
- 83', Gomes E. ↓, Brewer S. ↑,
- 84', Mendoza J. ↓, Melillo T. ↑,
- 84', Jefferson ↓, Yankam Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Valletta
56.8% | Draw
26.4% | Mosta
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valletta's form might have worsened.Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mosta's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+16.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valletta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Valletta - Mosta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.33) |
3.93 ↓
(4.82) |
6.19 ↓
(8.52) |
-3.6%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Valletta - Mosta?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Valletta will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valletta (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 9 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 0.
- Valletta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mosta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mosta has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Valletta is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Valletta won against Mosta?
Valletta has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mosta won against Valletta?
Mosta has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valletta - Mosta were as follows:
17.02.2024
Mosta
-
Valletta
1:0
06.02.2024
Mosta
-
Valletta
2:1
30.09.2023
Valletta
-
Mosta
1:1
19.02.2023
Valletta
-
Mosta
0:0
15.10.2022
Mosta
-
Valletta
3:1
Latest results of Valletta
Maltese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Valletta | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Sliema | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Hibernians | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Marsaxlokk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Birkirkara | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Gzira | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 9 |
| 9 | Zabbar | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Naxxar | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:16 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | Mosta | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )
