Valletta vs Mosta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese Premier League Valletta - Mosta
Result
4:1
24/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 6
  • Referee: Johnson A. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
254
Shots on target
81
Corner Kicks
130
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
254
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
173
Corner Kicks
130

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Emmanuel P. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Micallef N. , Mbende E. ,
  • 50', Daniel GTA 🟨,
  • 55', Daniel GTA , Chibuike C. ,
  • 61', Azzopardi J. , Zammit A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Yuri ,
  • 67', Bolanos M. 🟨,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Radic S. ,
  • 76', Farrugia K. , Giancarlo ,
  • 76', Diarra A. , Okereke C. ,
  • 76', Emmanuel P. , Brincat Z. ,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Zammit A. ,
  • 80', Gomes E. 🟨,
  • 80', Okereke C. 🟨,
  • 82', 4 - 1, Thaylor ,
  • 83', Gomes E. , Brewer S. ,
  • 84', Mendoza J. , Melillo T. ,
  • 84', Jefferson , Yankam Y. ,

Chances of winning


Valletta
56.8%
Draw
26.4%
Mosta
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.9% 19.2% 10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 18.3% 10.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valletta's form might have worsened.
  • Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mosta's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valletta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Valletta - Mosta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.33)
    3.93
    (4.82)
    6.19
    (8.52)
    -3.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Valletta - Mosta?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Valletta will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valletta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 9 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 0.
    • Valletta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mosta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Mosta has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Valletta is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valletta - Mosta were as follows:
    17.02.2024 Mosta - Valletta 1:0
    06.02.2024 Mosta - Valletta 2:1
    30.09.2023 Valletta - Mosta 1:1
    19.02.2023 Valletta - Mosta 0:0
    15.10.2022 Mosta - Valletta 3:1
    Latest results of Valletta
    16.09.2025 Floriana - Valletta 0:2
    12.09.2025 Valletta - Marsaxlokk 3:1
    31.08.2025 Hamrun Spartans - Valletta 1:1
    16.08.2025 Valletta - Birkirkara 0:0
    Latest results of Mosta
    21.09.2025 Birkirkara - Mosta 2:0
    17.09.2025 Mosta - Paola Hibernians 2:2
    13.09.2025 Hamrun Spartans - Mosta 2:0
    22.08.2025 Sliema Wanderers - Mosta 0:1
    17.08.2025 Marsaxlokk - Mosta 3:1
    Maltese Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana861112:6619
    2Valletta743013:5815
    3Hamrun74309:2715
    4Hibernians842216:12414
    5Birkirkara83418:4413
    6Marsaxlokk841310:8213
    7Sliema73228:9-111
    8Zabbar81348:12-46
    9Gzira81348:15-76
    10Tarxien81257:13-65
    11Naxxar71158:11-34
    12Mosta81168:18-104

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