Móstoles URJC vs Atlético Madrid C – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
11/01/2026 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 67', 2 - 0, ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Móstoles URJC
40.1%
Draw
30.1%
Atlético Madrid C
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 27.8% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 27.4% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Móstoles URJC's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid C's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Móstoles URJC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid C than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Móstoles URJC - Atlético Madrid C Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.91)
    3.02
    (3.26)
    3.05
    (3.67)
    10%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Móstoles will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Móstoles URJC
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C24137461:332846
    2Las Rozas24137441:251646
    3CD Mostoles24136540:281245
    4Leganes B24127544:172743
    5AD Torrejon24124839:33640
    6Pozuelo de Alarcon24910525:19637
    7Trival Valderas241041031:29234
    8Union Adarve2496926:30-433
    9San Sebastian Reyes B2489730:25533
    10Mexico FC24951032:32032
    11Galapagar24711625:32-732
    12Villaverde San Andres24710723:28-531
    13Carabanchel24681020:24-426
    14Alcorcon B24671121:27-625
    15Siello24731424:37-1324
    16Parla24641419:39-2022
    17Tres Cantos24631521:44-2321
    18Ciudad de Madrid24471323:43-2019

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation