Móstoles URJC vs Atlético Madrid C – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
11/01/2026 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 67', 2 - 0, ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Móstoles URJC
40.1%
Draw
30.1%
Atlético Madrid C
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 27.8% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 27.4% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Móstoles URJC's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid C's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Móstoles URJC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid C than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Móstoles URJC - Atlético Madrid C Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.91)
    3.02
    (3.26)
    3.05
    (3.67)
    10%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Móstoles will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Móstoles URJC
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C33189682:453763
    2Trival Valderas331851048:341459
    3AD Torrejon33169856:461057
    4Las Rozas33168957:391856
    5Leganes B33159962:313154
    6Union Adarve331481143:42150
    7CD Mostoles331481150:44650
    8San Sebastian Reyes B331113941:35646
    9Pozuelo de Alarcon3311121037:32545
    10Alcorcon B3311101235:32343
    11Villaverde San Andres3310131032:40-843
    12Galapagar3310131039:46-743
    13Mexico FC331191343:48-542
    14Siello331251636:45-941
    15Carabanchel339111330:33-338
    16Tres Cantos331032039:62-2333
    17Parla33762029:65-3627
    18Ciudad de Madrid33572131:71-4022

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation