Result
3:1
01/02/2026 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Sanchez V. ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,
- 44', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Móstoles URJC 49.8% | Draw 26.5% | Las Rozas 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Las Rozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Móstoles URJC - Las Rozas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↓ (1.93) |
3.43 ↑ (3.32) |
3.85 ↑ (3.47) |
9.9% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 3.
- Móstoles is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Las Rozas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Móstoles will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Móstoles URJC won against Las Rozas?
Móstoles URJC has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Las Rozas won against Móstoles URJC?
Las Rozas has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Móstoles URJC - Las Rozas were as follows:
21.09.2025
Las Rozas
-
Móstoles URJC
2:4
21.01.2024
Móstoles URJC
-
Las Rozas
0:0
15.01.2023
Las Rozas
-
Móstoles URJC
2:1
11.09.2022
Móstoles URJC
-
Las Rozas
1:0
Latest results of Móstoles URJC
Latest results of Las Rozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 66:36 | 30 | 52 |
| 2 | Las Rozas | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 45:26 | 19 | 50 |
| 3 | CD Mostoles | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | Leganes B | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:20 | 26 | 44 |
| 5 | AD Torrejon | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Trival Valderas | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 34:29 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 26:22 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Galapagar | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 28:34 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 | Mexico FC | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 34:34 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Union Adarve | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Villaverde San Andres | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 | Siello | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:38 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21:27 | -6 | 26 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 23:47 | -24 | 24 |
| 17 | Ciudad de Madrid | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:45 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 | Parla | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:44 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
Relegation