Result
 
                    2:5
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        17/10/2025 at  12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Ekstraklasa - Round 12
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 | 
|  Canada | beIN Connect | 
|  Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go | 
|  Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV | 
|  Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.56 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 51% | 49% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 21 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 10 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (312/384) | 82% (323/395) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.56 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.98 | 2.25 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 21 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 7 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 15 | 8 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 10 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 38 | 35 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 81% (312/384) | 82% (323/395) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 35% (14/40) | 42% (22/52) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 71% (78/110) | 75% (97/130) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 18% (7/38) | 22% (2/9) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.34 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 15 | 16 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 14 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 40% (8/20) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 44 | 59 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 22 | 52 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 11 | 12 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 0 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.25 | 2.98 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -1.75 | 0.98 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Galan B. ⚽, Czerwinski A. (A), 
- 14', Labojko J. 🟨, 
- 21', 0 - 2, Najemski A. (Own goal), 
- 34', 1 - 2, Czubak K. ⚽, 
- 38', 2 - 2, Czubak K. ⚽, Krol M. (A), 
- 45+1', Czerwinski A. ↓, Kuusk M. ↑, 
- 45+1', Labojko J. 🟨, 
- 45+3', Bosch J. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Bosch J. ↓, Milewski S. ↑, 
- 47', 2 - 3, Zrelak A. ⚽, Nowak B. (A), 
- 64', Zrelak A. ↓, Blad A. ↑, 
- 64', Markovic E. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑, 
- 64', Palacz K. ↓, Luberecki F. ↑, 
- 64', van Hoeven B. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑, 
- 72', Wolski B. ↓, Samper S. ↑, 
- 72', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑, 
- 73', 2 - 4, Shkurin I. ⚽, Nowak B. (A), 
- 75', Shkurin I. 🟨, 
- 82', 2 - 5, Shkurin I. ⚽, Milewski S. (A), 
- 83', Nowak B. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑, 
- 83', Scalet M. ↓, Karasek K. ↑, 
- 88', Wasielewski M. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Motor Lublin 35.8%
 | Draw 26.7%
 | GKS Katowice 37.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.87 ↑ (2.25)
 | 3.7 ↑ (3.61)
 | 2.55 ↓ (2.96)
 | 1.1% (6.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            17 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Motor Lublin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Motor: Ede B.
(Yellow Cards)
Ndiaye M.
(Injury)
Rodrigues I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Marzec M.
(Inactive)
Paluszek A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Motor: Plichta K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against GKS Katowice?
                    
                    
                        
                            Motor Lublin has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Motor Lublin?
                    
                    
                        
                             GKS Katowice has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice were as follows:
                                                        
                                24.02.2025 
                                Motor Lublin 
                                - 
                                GKS Katowice 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.08.2024 
                                GKS Katowice 
                                - 
                                Motor Lublin 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.02.2024 
                                GKS Katowice 
                                - 
                                Motor Lublin 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.08.2023 
                                Motor Lublin 
                                - 
                                GKS Katowice 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Motor Lublin                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of GKS Katowice                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 | 
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:15 | 9 | 24 | 
| 3 | Wisla Plock | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 22 | 
| 4 | Cracovia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 | 
| 5 | Lech Poznan | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 | 
| 6 | Korona Kielce | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 | 
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 | 
| 8 | Rakow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 | 
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 | 
| 10 | Legia | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 | 
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 16 | 
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 | 
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 15 | 
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 | 
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 | 
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 10 | 
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 10 | 
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1