Result
2:5
17/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 12
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (312/384) | 82% (323/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.98 | 2.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (312/384) | 82% (323/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (14/40) | 42% (22/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (78/110) | 75% (97/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (7/38) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 40% (8/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.25 | 2.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.75 | 0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Galan B. ⚽, Czerwinski A. (A),
- 14', Labojko J. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 2, Najemski A. (Own goal),
- 34', 1 - 2, Czubak K. ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 2, Czubak K. ⚽, Krol M. (A),
- 45+1', Czerwinski A. ↓, Kuusk M. ↑,
- 45+1', Labojko J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Bosch J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Bosch J. ↓, Milewski S. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 3, Zrelak A. ⚽, Nowak B. (A),
- 64', Zrelak A. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
- 64', Markovic E. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
- 64', Palacz K. ↓, Luberecki F. ↑,
- 64', van Hoeven B. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
- 72', Wolski B. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 72', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 4, Shkurin I. ⚽, Nowak B. (A),
- 75', Shkurin I. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 5, Shkurin I. ⚽, Milewski S. (A),
- 83', Nowak B. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 83', Scalet M. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
- 88', Wasielewski M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
35.8% | Draw
26.7% | GKS Katowice
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Motor Lublin's form might have worsened.GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GKS Katowice's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Motor Lublin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GKS Katowice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.25) |
3.7 ↑
(3.61) |
2.55 ↓
(2.96) |
1.1%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 56.3% – 96.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Motor Lublin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Motor: Ede B.
(Yellow Cards)
Ndiaye M.
(Injury)
Rodrigues I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Marzec M.
(Inactive)
Paluszek A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Motor: Plichta K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against GKS Katowice?
Motor Lublin has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Motor Lublin?
GKS Katowice has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice were as follows:
24.02.2025
Motor Lublin
-
GKS Katowice
3:2
16.08.2024
GKS Katowice
-
Motor Lublin
0:0
19.02.2024
GKS Katowice
-
Motor Lublin
2:0
06.08.2023
Motor Lublin
-
GKS Katowice
1:1
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
