Result
2:1
01/02/2026 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 19
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (271/348) | 85% (429/505) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 2.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (271/348) | 85% (429/505) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (12/35) | 59% (41/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (46/77) | 76% (145/192) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.77 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Czubak K. ⚽, Fabio Ronaldo (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Wolski B. (A),
- 36', 2 - 1, Ulvestad F. ⚽,
- 37', Pozo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Luberecki F. 🟨,
- 61', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
- 62', Greenwood S. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
- 62', Koutris L. ↓, Leo Borges ↑,
- 69', Grosicki K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Krol M. ↑,
- 73', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 77', Grosicki K. ↓, Paryzek P. ↑,
- 85', Rodrigues I. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
- 85', Ndiaye M. ↓, Lewandowski F. ↑,
- 90+3', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Juwara M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Karasek K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
35.3% | Draw
26.5% | Pogoń Szczecin
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.62) |
3.54 ↑
(3.44) |
2.47 ↑
(2.45) |
6.3%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 8% – 64.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).
- Motor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Recently, Motor has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Molnar R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Motor: Stolarski P.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Motor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Motor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Motor Lublin has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Motor Lublin?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
26.07.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Motor Lublin
4:1
14.05.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Motor Lublin
3:0
02.11.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Pogoń Szczecin
4:2
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Piast Gliwice | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 34:36 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
