Motor Lublin vs Polonia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
09/03/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 23
  • Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Chances of winning


Motor Lublin
53.5%
Draw
26.1%
Polonia Warsaw
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 26.4% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 25.6% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.87)
    3.58
    (3.45)
    4.54
    (3.68)
    7.3%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: Motor Lublin will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Motor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Motor have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Polonia have a series of home games.
    • In this match Motor is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Motor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Motor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Polonia Warsaw - Motor Lublin 0:1
    04.06.2023 Polonia Warsaw - Motor Lublin 1:1
    29.10.2022 Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw 0:1
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla301611365:313459
    2Slask Wroclaw30159660:441654
    3Wieczysta Krakow30148860:431750
    4Chrobry Glogow301461041:291248
    5Polonia Warszawa30138946:43347
    6Ruch Chorzow301111844:42244
    7LKS Lodz29128944:42244
    8Grodzisk M291110847:44343
    9Legnica301271147:50-343
    10Puszcza301012841:37442
    11Polonia Bytom301181147:40741
    12S. Rzeszow301161342:49-739
    13Odra Opole309111028:35-738
    14Pogon Siedlce30991231:32-136
    15Stal Mielec30851743:58-1529
    16Leczna305121337:51-1427
    17Pruszkow30671734:58-2425
    18Tychy30561935:64-2921

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2