Result
1:0
18/05/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 33
- Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (296/364) | 82% (350/426) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (296/364) | 82% (350/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 55% (27/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (71/105) | 67% (71/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Mraz S. ⚽, Wojcik F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mikolajewski D. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
- 59', Caliskaner K. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 61', Regula M. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
- 61', Kolan J. ↓, Mroz M. ↑,
- 63', Scalet M. 🟨,
- 69', Ceglarz P. ↓, Krol M. ↑,
- 69', Palacz K. ↓, Luberecki F. ↑,
- 80', Najemski A. ↓, Ede B. ↑,
- 80', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 87', Orlikowski I. ↓, Michalski D. ↑,
- 90+2', Krol M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
46.4% | Draw
26.9% | Zagłębie Lubin
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motor Lublin's performance.Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.26) |
3.53 ↑
(3.25) |
3.48 ↑
(3.11) |
5.6%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Motor (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Motor Lublin will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
- Motor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Zagłębie Lubin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Motor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Motor: Brkic I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Broken Leg)
Hladun D.
(Inactive)
Szafranek W.
(Knee Injury)
Wdowiak M.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Motor: Augustin J.
(Injury)
Bartos M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Adamski R.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Motor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Motor Lublin has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Motor Lublin?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
22.11.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Motor Lublin
1:2
19.10.2022
Motor Lublin
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:0
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
