Zagłębie Lubin vs Motor Lublin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 9
  • Referee: Karski L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.78
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
77% (210/274)87% (323/371)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.751.98
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
77% (210/274)87% (323/371)
Long passes
41% (20/49)41% (12/29)
Passes in final third
62% (59/95)78% (95/122)
Crosses
17% (4/23)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.77
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
1415
Tackles
61% (14/23)60% (6/10)
Duels won
6148
Clearances
2537
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.981.75
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
  • 6', 1 - 0, Rocha L. , Regula M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', van Hoeven B. , Fabio Ronaldo ,
  • 46', Krol M. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Labojko J. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Fabio Ronaldo , Ndiaye M. (A),
  • 58', Regula M. 🟨,
  • 63', Radwanski A. , Wdowiak M. ,
  • 63', Regula M. , Sypek J. ,
  • 63', Rocha L. , Kosidis M. ,
  • 65', Nalepa M. 🟨,
  • 67', Labojko J. 🟨,
  • 69', Stolarski P. , Wojcik F. ,
  • 69', Labojko J. , Samper S. ,
  • 71', Meyer P. 🟨,
  • 77', Wolski B. 🟨,
  • 81', Wolski B. , Scalet M. ,
  • 81', Corluka J. , Yakuba R. ,
  • 82', Lucic L. , Diaz J. ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Kosidis M. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Kocaba F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Zagłębie Lubin
49.8%
Draw
25.2%
Motor Lublin
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 25.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 25.2% 28.2%

Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.93
(2.05)
3.85
(3.7)
3.94
(3.31)
3%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Motor will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Motor (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Motor (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 25%). Motor (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Motor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Zagłębie Lubin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Broken Leg) Mroz M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Motor: Najemski A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0
    22.11.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin 1:2
    19.10.2022 Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia19105436:231335
    2Wisla Plock2089323:14933
    3Gornik Zabrze20103731:26533
    4Zaglebie2087533:27631
    5Cracovia2087527:22531
    6Rakow2093827:25230
    7Lech Poznan2078531:30129
    8Radomiak Radom1976635:30527
    9Korona Kielce2076724:22227
    10Piast Gliwice2075822:21126
    11GKS Katowice1982926:28-226
    12Lechia Gdansk2085741:39224
    13Motor Lublin2059626:33-724
    14Pogon Szczecin20641030:35-522
    15Arka Gdynia1964917:34-1722
    16Legia2048822:25-320
    17Widzew Lodz20621227:32-520
    18Termalica B-B20551025:37-1220

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1