Zagłębie Lubin vs Motor Lublin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin
Result
2:2
21/09/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 9
  • Referee: Karski L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.78
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
77% (210/274)87% (323/371)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.751.98
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
77% (210/274)87% (323/371)
Long passes
41% (20/49)41% (12/29)
Passes in final third
62% (59/95)78% (95/122)
Crosses
17% (4/23)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.77
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
1415
Tackles
61% (14/23)60% (6/10)
Duels won
6148
Clearances
2537
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.981.75
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
  • 6', 1 - 0, Rocha L. , Regula M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', van Hoeven B. , Fabio Ronaldo ,
  • 46', Krol M. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Labojko J. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Fabio Ronaldo , Ndiaye M. (A),
  • 58', Regula M. 🟨,
  • 63', Radwanski A. , Wdowiak M. ,
  • 63', Regula M. , Sypek J. ,
  • 63', Rocha L. , Kosidis M. ,
  • 65', Nalepa M. 🟨,
  • 67', Labojko J. 🟨,
  • 69', Stolarski P. , Wojcik F. ,
  • 69', Labojko J. , Samper S. ,
  • 71', Meyer P. 🟨,
  • 77', Wolski B. 🟨,
  • 81', Wolski B. , Scalet M. ,
  • 81', Corluka J. , Yakuba R. ,
  • 82', Lucic L. , Diaz J. ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Kosidis M. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Kocaba F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Zagłębie Lubin
49.8%
Draw
25.2%
Motor Lublin
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 25.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 25.2% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.05)
    3.85
    (3.7)
    3.94
    (3.31)
    3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Motor will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Motor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Zagłębie Lubin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Broken Leg) Mroz M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Motor: Najemski A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0
    22.11.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin 1:2
    19.10.2022 Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1061315:8719
    2Cracovia953117:10718
    3Korona Kielce1053214:7718
    4Jagiellonia953116:12418
    5Wisla Plock952211:6517
    6Legia943212:6615
    7Lech Poznan943217:16115
    8Zaglebie934220:13713
    9Radomiak Radom1033417:18-112
    10Motor Lublin925211:14-311
    11Rakow932410:13-311
    12Widzew Lodz1031613:13010
    13Pogon Szczecin1031614:19-510
    14Termalica B-B1023513:17-49
    15Arka Gdynia102355:14-99
    16GKS Katowice1022611:21-108
    17Piast Gliwice81437:9-27
    18Lechia Gdansk1032518:25-76

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          Relegation ~ Division 1