Result
1:0
20/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (187/285) | 71% (234/328) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (187/285) | 71% (234/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (13/50) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (34/73) | 64% (92/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 56% (14/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 0, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Czubak K. (A),
- 62', Diaz J. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
- 62', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Kolan J. ↑,
- 62', Radwanski A. ↓, Szabo L. ↑,
- 68', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
- 68', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
- 76', Luberecki F. ↓, Ede B. ↑,
- 76', Kocaba F. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 76', Regula M. ↓, Mlinaric M. ↑,
- 86', Ndiaye M. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
45.2% | Draw
27.2% | Zagłębie Lubin
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motor Lublin's performance.Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie Lubin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.3) |
3.41 ↑
(3.16) |
3.36 ↑
(2.72) |
7.2%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 25.5% – 74.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Zagłębie Lubin (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Motor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Motor: Dadashov R.
(Yellow Cards)
Plichta K.
(Inactive)
Scalet M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lawniczak A.
(Inactive)
Nalepa M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Motor: Najemski A.
(Inactive)
Ndiaye M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Orlikowski I.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Motor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Motor Lublin has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Motor Lublin?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
21.09.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Motor Lublin
2:2
18.05.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:0
22.11.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Motor Lublin
1:2
19.10.2022
Motor Lublin
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:0
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
