Result
3:1
06/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (230/335) | 69% (270/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (230/335) | 69% (270/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (34/82) | 42% (38/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (70/121) | 51% (54/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (8/41) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 75% (21/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 81 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Kovacs P. (Own goal),
- 34', Atrok I. 🟨,
- 38', Molnar A. 🟨,
- 39', Szekszardi M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Horvath A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', Osvath A. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Polievka R. ⚽, Jurina M. (A),
- 60', Hahn J. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 60', Gyurkits G. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
- 66', Plsek J. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 1, Bode D. ⚽,
- 69', 3 - 1, Bode D. ⚽, Toth B. (A),
- 73', Polievka R. ↓, Szucs P. ↑,
- 73', Molnar A. ↓, Bevardi Z. ↑,
- 73', Varju B. ↓, Szepe J. ↑,
- 79', Atrok I. ↓, Torocsik P. ↑,
- 81', Kovacs P. 🟨,
- 82', Toth B. ↓, Szendrei A. ↑,
- 84', Beriashvili I. 🟨,
- 86', Papp K. 🟨,
- 87', Horvath A. ↓, Lehoczky R. ↑,
- 90+2', Szucs P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paksi SE
55.3% | Draw
22.4% | MTK Budapest
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Paksi SE - MTK Budapest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.78) |
4.13 ↑
(4.06) |
4.19 ↑
(3.63) |
7.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - MTK Budapest?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 1 - 25%). MTK will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Paks (votes: 1 - 33.3%). MTK (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Paks is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:20. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:6. (average 2.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against MTK Budapest?
Paksi SE has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Paksi SE?
MTK Budapest has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - MTK Budapest were as follows:
24.08.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
2:3
11.04.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
1:2
07.12.2024
Paksi SE
-
MTK Budapest
4:2
03.12.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
3:1
03.03.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
0:2
Latest results of Paksi SE
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47:24 | 23 | 46 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 44:25 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 39 |
| 4 | Paks | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | Puskas Academy | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 6 | Zalaegerszegi | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 35:29 | 6 | 34 |
| 7 | Kisvarda | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | MTK Budapest | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 42:51 | -9 | 25 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 31:39 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | DVTK | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 31:38 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 20:47 | -27 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
