Result
1:2
11/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- OTP Bank Liga - Round 27
- Referee: Pillok A. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/465) | 77% (306/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 43 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/465) | 77% (306/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (48/65) | 51% (32/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (94/129) | 70% (121/172) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 37% (11/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.99 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 60 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Hej V. 🟨,
- 36', Molnar R. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Toth B. ⚽, Silye E. (A),
- 39', Kosznovszky M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Szabo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Hej V. ↓, Vegh B. ↑,
- 62', Molnar R. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
- 69', Mezei S. ↓, Konyves N. ↑,
- 69', Toth B. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Bognar I. ⚽, Kata M. (A),
- 77', 1 - 2, Bode D. ⚽, Otvos B. (A),
- 79', Jurina M. ↓, Horvath A. ↑,
- 80', Molnar A. ↓, Polievka R. ↑,
- 87', Otvos B. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
- 90+1', Hinora K. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,
Chances of winning
MTK Budapest
41.3% | Draw
25.1% | Paksi SE
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
MTK Budapest - Paksi SE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.49) |
3.68 ↑
(3.43) |
2.75 ↑
(2.58) |
7.9%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Paksi SE?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. MTK (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
MTK Budapest will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches MTK won 1.
- Recent matches MTK is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Paksi SE is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches MTK won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 18:40 (average 0.9:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams MTK won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Paksi SE?
MTK Budapest has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against MTK Budapest?
Paksi SE has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Paksi SE were as follows:
07.12.2024
Paksi SE
-
MTK Budapest
4:2
03.12.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
3:1
03.03.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
0:2
05.11.2023
Paksi SE
-
MTK Budapest
0:0
28.07.2023
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
1:1
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Latest results of Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | MTK Budapest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Debrecen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | DVTK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gyor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Ujpest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Paks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Zalaegerszegi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Nyiregyhaza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kazincbarcikai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Ferencvaros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Kisvarda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Puskas Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Merkantil Bank Liga
