Result
2:3
24/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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3.06 | 2.55 |
Ball Possession |
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56% | 44% |
Total shots |
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26 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
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79% (368/467) | 75% (274/367) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.06 | 2.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.54 | 2.95 |
Total shots |
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26 | 15 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
22 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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34 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 15 |
Passes |
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79% (368/467) | 75% (274/367) |
Long passes |
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54% (43/79) | 47% (32/68) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (71/105) | 67% (94/140) |
Crosses |
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45% (9/20) | 13% (2/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.74 | 1.01 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 23 |
Fouls |
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16 | 14 |
Tackles |
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56% (9/16) | 53% (8/15) |
Duels won |
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58 | 50 |
Clearances |
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21 | 26 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.95 | 2.54 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.05 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Vecsei B. ⚽,
- 28', 0 - 2, Hahn J. (Pen),
- 32', Molnar R. 🟨,
- 40', Szepe J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', Haraszti Z. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
- 55', Gyurkits G. ↓, Toth B. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 2, Atrok I. ⚽,
- 60', Szepe J. ↓, Molnar A. ↑,
- 61', Molnar R. ↓, Kerezsi Z. ↑,
- 65', Hahn J. ↓, Peto M. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Horvath A. ⚽, Bognar I. (A),
- 75', Atrok I. ↓, Szucs P. ↑,
- 75', Horvath K. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 76', Silye E. ↓, Hinora K. ↑,
- 80', Szeles I. A. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 3, Windecker J. (Pen),
- 84', Horvath A. ↓, Polievka R. ↑,
- 90+1', Bognar I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
MTK Budapest 36.8% | Draw 23.9% | Paksi SE 39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
MTK Budapest - Paksi SE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.52 ↑ (2.29) |
3.89 ↑ (3.84) |
2.38 ↓ (2.7) |
7.5% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Paksi SE?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Paks will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 1.
- Recent form of MTK has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paks is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Paks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, MTK has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:42. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Paksi SE?
MTK Budapest has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against MTK Budapest?
Paksi SE has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Paksi SE were as follows:
11.04.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
1:2
07.12.2024
Paksi SE
-
MTK Budapest
4:2
03.12.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
3:1
03.03.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
0:2
05.11.2023
Paksi SE
-
MTK Budapest
0:0
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Latest results of Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Paks | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:9 | 9 | 14 |
2 | Ferencvaros | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 10 |
3 | Debrecen | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
4 | Puskas Academy | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
5 | Kisvarda | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
6 | Gyor | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 9 |
7 | Ujpest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MTK Budapest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
9 | DVTK | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
10 | Nyiregyhaza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
11 | Zalaegerszegi | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 4 |
12 | Kazincbarcikai | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.