Result
2:3
24/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.06 | 2.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (368/467) | 75% (274/367) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.06 | 2.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 2.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (368/467) | 75% (274/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (43/79) | 47% (32/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (71/105) | 67% (94/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.95 | 2.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Vecsei B. ⚽,
- 28', 0 - 2, Hahn J. (Pen),
- 32', Molnar R. 🟨,
- 40', Szepe J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', Haraszti Z. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
- 55', Gyurkits G. ↓, Toth B. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 2, Atrok I. ⚽,
- 60', Szepe J. ↓, Molnar A. ↑,
- 61', Molnar R. ↓, Kerezsi Z. ↑,
- 65', Hahn J. ↓, Peto M. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Horvath A. ⚽, Bognar I. (A),
- 75', Atrok I. ↓, Szucs P. ↑,
- 75', Horvath K. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 76', Silye E. ↓, Hinora K. ↑,
- 80', Szeles I. A. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 3, Windecker J. (Pen),
- 84', Horvath A. ↓, Polievka R. ↑,
- 90+1', Bognar I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
MTK Budapest
36.8% | Draw
23.9% | Paksi SE
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
MTK Budapest - Paksi SE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.29) |
3.89 ↑
(3.84) |
2.38 ↓
(2.7) |
7.5%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Paksi SE?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Paks will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 1.
- Recent form of MTK has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paks is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Paks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, MTK has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:42. (average 1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has MTK Budapest won against Paksi SE?
MTK Budapest has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against MTK Budapest?
Paksi SE has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Paksi SE were as follows:
11.04.2025
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
1:2
07.12.2024
Paksi SE
-
MTK Budapest
4:2
03.12.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
3:1
03.03.2024
MTK Budapest
-
Paksi SE
0:2
05.11.2023
Paksi SE
-
MTK Budapest
0:0
Latest results of MTK Budapest
Latest results of Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Paks | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Debrecen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 13 |
| 3 | Gyor | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | Ferencvaros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | MTK Budapest | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Kisvarda | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | DVTK | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12:16 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 6 |
| 11 | Kazincbarcikai | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10:15 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
