MTK Budapest vs Paksi SE – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Hungarian NB I MTK Budapest - Paksi SE
Result
1:2
11/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • OTP Bank Liga - Round 27
  • Referee: Pillok A. (Hun)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.932.54
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
82% (381/465)77% (306/397)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.932.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.512.22
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
513
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
13
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
2643
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
82% (381/465)77% (306/397)
Long passes
74% (48/65)51% (32/63)
Passes in final third
73% (94/129)70% (121/172)
Crosses
21% (5/24)37% (11/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.062.99
Fouls
1414
Tackles
68% (13/19)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5260
Clearances Total
3521
Interceptions
1513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
2.220.51
Goals prevented
0.46-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', Hej V. 🟨,
  • 36', Molnar R. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Toth B. , Silye E. (A),
  • 39', Kosznovszky M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Szabo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hej V. , Vegh B. ,
  • 62', Molnar R. , Nemeth K. ,
  • 69', Mezei S. , Konyves N. ,
  • 69', Toth B. , Bode D. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Bognar I. , Kata M. (A),
  • 77', 1 - 2, Bode D. , Otvos B. (A),
  • 79', Jurina M. , Horvath A. ,
  • 80', Molnar A. , Polievka R. ,
  • 87', Otvos B. , Horvath K. ,
  • 90+1', Hinora K. , Gyurkits G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


MTK Budapest
41.3%
Draw
25.1%
Paksi SE
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 27% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 27.4% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • MTK Budapest - Paksi SE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.49)
    3.68
    (3.43)
    2.75
    (2.58)
    7.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for MTK Budapest - Paksi SE?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. MTK (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: MTK Budapest will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches MTK won 1.
    • Recent matches MTK is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Paksi SE is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches MTK won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 18:40 (average 0.9:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams MTK won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MTK Budapest - Paksi SE were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Paksi SE - MTK Budapest 4:2
    03.12.2024 MTK Budapest - Paksi SE 3:1
    03.03.2024 MTK Budapest - Paksi SE 0:2
    05.11.2023 Paksi SE - MTK Budapest 0:0
    28.07.2023 MTK Budapest - Paksi SE 1:1
    Latest results of MTK Budapest
    Latest results of Paksi SE
    02.04.2025 Kisvárda - Paksi SE 0:1
    14.03.2025 Paksi SE - Ujpest 6:1
    08.03.2025 Diósgyőri - Paksi SE 0:2
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1MTK Budapest00000:000
    2Debrecen00000:000
    3DVTK00000:000
    4Gyor00000:000
    5Ujpest00000:000
    6Paks00000:000
    7Zalaegerszegi00000:000
    8Nyiregyhaza00000:000
    9Kazincbarcikai00000:000
    10Ferencvaros00000:000
    11Kisvarda00000:000
    12Puskas Academy00000:000

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          Relegation ~ Merkantil Bank Liga