Result
1:0
24/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (314/380) | 75% (237/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (314/380) | 75% (237/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 48% (31/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (80/119) | 60% (52/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (19/24) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Orji N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Thodsanit P. ↓, Panthong S. ↑,
- 49', Dunnwald-Turan K. 🟨,
- 61', Dunnwald-Turan K. ↓, Roback E. ↑,
- 62', Tasa K. ↓, Sattham J. ↑,
- 65', Kanitsribampen W. ↓, Poeiphimai T. ↑,
- 74', Kempter M. ↓, Yoosuebchuea S. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 0, Lucas Tocantins ⚽, Kaka Mendes (A),
- 83', Shimura N. 🟨,
- 84', Lucas Tocantins ↓, Lins M. ↑,
- 84', Kaka Mendes ↓, Karin C. ↑,
- 84', Perea B. ↓, Matheus Pato ↑,
- 90+7', Chamratsamee P. ↓, Kesarat T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Thai Port
51.5% | Draw
24% | Muangthong United
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thai Port than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Thai Port - Muangthong United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.7) |
3.83 ↓
(3.96) |
3.76 ↓
(3.97) |
8.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Thai Port - Muangthong United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Port (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Muangthong United (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Thai Port will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port won 3.
- Port has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Muangthong United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Port is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Port won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Thai Port won against Muangthong United?
Thai Port has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Thai Port?
Muangthong United has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thai Port - Muangthong United were as follows:
09.03.2025
Muangthong United
-
Thai Port
1:2
27.10.2024
Thai Port
-
Muangthong United
1:1
14.02.2024
Thai Port
-
Muangthong United
4:3
28.08.2023
Muangthong United
-
Thai Port
1:3
05.03.2023
Thai Port
-
Muangthong United
2:3
Latest results of Thai Port
Latest results of Muangthong United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22:9 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Bangkok Utd | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:12 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Port MTI FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:6 | 12 | 16 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Chiangrai Utd | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Prachuap | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Sukhothai | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Muang Thong Utd | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Chonburi | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Ayutthaya Utd | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:25 | -11 | 6 |
| 16 | Uthai Thani | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
