Result
0:3
14/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Guatemala | Claro Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Altan P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 51', Garcia I. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 2, Martinez J. ⚽,
- 59', Aguilar Y. ↓, Gilder Otoniel C. ↑,
- 59', Robles C. ↓, Avalos V. ↑,
- 59', Aguilar Y. ↓, Gilder Otoniel C. ↑,
- 68', Altan P. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
- 68', David A. 🟨,
- 69', Sequen M. ↓, Lon A. ↑,
- 76', Matos Y. ↓, Archila C. ↑,
- 76', Martinez J. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 81', Perez Y. Y. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
- 81', Saravia R. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 3, Hernandez C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Guastatoya
25.5% | Draw
28.7% | Municipal
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Guastatoya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Guastatoya's form might have worsened.Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Municipal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Guastatoya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Municipal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(2.55) |
3.19 ↑
(3) |
1.99 ↓
(2.6) |
9.5%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Municipal (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Municipal (votes: 3 - 100%).
- DNB - Municipal (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Municipal will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 0.
- Guastatoya has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Municipal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guastatoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Municipal might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Municipal will win today's game, with odds of 1.91.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guastatoya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Guastatoya won against Municipal?
Deportivo Guastatoya has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Municipal won against Deportivo Guastatoya?
Municipal has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal were as follows:
17.04.2025
Municipal
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
1:0
12.02.2025
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Municipal
0:2
23.10.2024
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Municipal
1:2
18.02.2024
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Municipal
0:1
20.01.2024
Municipal
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
5:1
Latest results of Deportivo Guastatoya
Latest results of Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Mixco | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 35 |
| 2 | Municipal | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 30:12 | 18 | 33 |
| 3 | Aurora F.C | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Antigua | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Achuapa | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Mictlan | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Marquense | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 18 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 19:28 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Comunicaciones | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:20 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Guastatoya | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:28 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
