Deportivo Guastatoya vs Municipal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Guatemala Liga Nacional Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal
Result
0:3
14/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
guatemalaGuatemalaClaro Sports 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
27
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
612
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Altan P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', Garcia I. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Martinez J. ,
  • 59', Aguilar Y. , Gilder Otoniel C. ,
  • 59', Robles C. , Avalos V. ,
  • 59', Aguilar Y. , Gilder Otoniel C. ,
  • 68', Altan P. , Hernandez C. ,
  • 68', David A. 🟨,
  • 69', Sequen M. , Lon A. ,
  • 76', Matos Y. , Archila C. ,
  • 76', Martinez J. , Hernandez E. ,
  • 81', Perez Y. Y. , Franco J. ,
  • 81', Saravia R. , Mendez J. ,
  • 85', 0 - 3, Hernandez C. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Guastatoya
25.5%
Draw
28.7%
Municipal
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 30% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 28.9% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Guastatoya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Guastatoya's form might have worsened.
  • Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Municipal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Guastatoya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Municipal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.59
    (2.55)
    3.19
    (3)
    1.99
    (2.6)
    9.5%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Municipal (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Municipal (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • DNB - Municipal (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Municipal will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 0.
    • Guastatoya has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Municipal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Guastatoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Municipal might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Municipal will win today's game, with odds of 1.91.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guastatoya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal were as follows:
    17.04.2025 Municipal - Deportivo Guastatoya 1:0
    12.02.2025 Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal 0:2
    23.10.2024 Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal 1:2
    18.02.2024 Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal 0:1
    20.01.2024 Municipal - Deportivo Guastatoya 5:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Guastatoya
    Latest results of Municipal
    31.08.2025 Mictlán - Municipal 0:0
    28.08.2025 Herediano - Municipal 4:4
    23.08.2025 Municipal - Xelajú 1:1
    16.08.2025 Malacateco - Municipal 2:3
    Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Municipal1375123:101326
    2Deportivo Mixco1282215:9626
    3Antigua1272323:14923
    4Aurora F.C1264219:14522
    5Xelaju1353522:16618
    6Mictlan124448:9-116
    7Malacateco1351717:19-216
    8Coban Imperial1343613:16-315
    9Deportivo Achuapa1134413:14-113
    10Comunicaciones1332811:19-811
    11Marquense113268:17-911
    12Guastatoya1322911:26-158

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)