Result
1:2
30/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Labas J. ⚽, Cirillo F. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Varrella G. ⚽, Domini T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 73', 1 - 2, Varrella G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Murata
48% | Draw
25.1% | Pennarossa
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murata's form might have worsened.Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pennarossa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Murata - Pennarossa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.7) |
3.63 ↓
(3.75) |
3.4 ↓
(4.1) |
9.5%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murata won 5.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Pennarossa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Murata is the team to beat.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Murata won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Murata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Murata won against Pennarossa?
Murata has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pennarossa won against Murata?
Pennarossa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Murata - Pennarossa were as follows:
19.01.2025
Pennarossa
-
Murata
0:4
31.08.2024
Murata
-
Pennarossa
3:0
24.02.2024
Pennarossa
-
Murata
0:3
05.11.2023
Murata
-
Pennarossa
5:0
28.01.2023
Pennarossa
-
Murata
2:3
Latest results of Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Virtus | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 50:11 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Tre Fiori | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 48:9 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 50:13 | 37 | 53 |
| 4 | Folgore | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 51:24 | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 49:21 | 28 | 42 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 47:22 | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Cosmos | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 25:16 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Fiorentino | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Libertas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:47 | -20 | 25 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 21 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 13 | Faetano | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 18:43 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17:48 | -31 | 11 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15:48 | -33 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 23 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15:59 | -44 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
