Result
2:0
21/03/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Tolomeo M. ⚽, Bezzini R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 2 - 0, Depaoli F (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Gjyla I. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Pennarossa
58.2% | Draw
20.3% | Murata
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pennarossa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pennarossa - Murata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.62) |
4.46 ↓
(5.03) |
4.21 ↑
(3.7) |
10.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1.
- Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
- In this match, Pennarossa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pennarossa won against Murata?
Pennarossa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Murata won against Pennarossa?
Murata has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pennarossa - Murata were as follows:
30.11.2025
Murata
-
Pennarossa
1:2
19.01.2025
Pennarossa
-
Murata
0:4
31.08.2024
Murata
-
Pennarossa
3:0
24.02.2024
Pennarossa
-
Murata
0:3
05.11.2023
Murata
-
Pennarossa
5:0
Latest results of Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
