Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa
12/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Independiente del Valle
68.7%
Draw
19.1%
Mushuc Runa
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 18.8% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5% 17.8% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.36)
    4.83
    (4.98)
    7.89
    (7.56)
    6.5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
    • Ind del Valle is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mushuc Runa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Ind del Valle has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Ind del Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
    23.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa 2:1
    05.10.2024 Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle 1:1
    18.04.2024 Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa 2:1
    06.08.2023 Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle 1:0
    25.02.2023 Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa 3:1
    Latest results of Independiente del Valle
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2