Result
1:0
14/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Pro - Round 8
- Referee: Gonzalez G. (Ecu)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (138/235) | 81% (389/481) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (138/235) | 81% (389/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (21/79) | 40% (31/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (48/109) | 52% (51/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.63 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
- 46', Zambrano A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 54', Simisterra R. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
- 61', Cornejo F. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
- 61', Quintero J. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
- 71', Alonso M. ↓, Peralta K. ↑,
- 75', Estrada M. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 82', Pastran L. 🟨,
- 83', Penilla C. ↓, Gracia A. ↑,
- 84', Peralta K. 🟨,
- 86', Gruezo C. 🟨,
- 88', Minda K. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Miranda B. ⚽, Caicedo E. (A),
- 90+5', Miranda B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
28% | Draw
27.8% | LDU Quito
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.28 ↓
(3.67) |
3.33 ↓
(3.45) |
2.09 ↑
(1.95) |
8.5%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito?
Users Predictions:
LDU Quito will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mushuc Runa won 0.
- Recent matches Mushuc Runa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- LDU Quito is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- LDU Quito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- LDU Quito will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 19:38 (average 1:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mushuc Runa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:21 (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against LDU Quito?
Mushuc Runa has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Mushuc Runa?
LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito were as follows:
26.10.2024
LDU Quito
-
Mushuc Runa
1:1
04.05.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
LDU Quito
0:1
02.12.2023
LDU Quito
-
Mushuc Runa
3:1
17.06.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
LDU Quito
2:2
09.09.2022
Mushuc Runa
-
LDU Quito
1:2
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 34:16 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | Dep. Cuenca | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | Orense | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
| 6 | Aucas | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Delfin | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:23 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Libertad | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 24 |
| 10 | Vinotinto | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 22 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Manta | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 13 | Macara | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 14:17 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 | Emelec | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 19 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 15 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
