Result
2:1
03/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (415/460) | 65% (155/239) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (415/460) | 65% (155/239) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (26/44) | 35% (22/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (128/159) | 51% (37/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Alzugaray L. 🟨,
- 45', Dos Santos J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 0, Villamil G. ⚽, Cornejo F. (A),
- 63', Verges J. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
- 63', Gracia A. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
- 69', de la Cruz D. I. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 69', Alzugaray L. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
- 69', Estrada M. ↓, Pastran L. ↑,
- 69', Burbano R. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
- 70', Mina R. ↓, Aimar D. ↑,
- 79', Alvarado A. (Pen),
- 81', 2 - 0, Cabeza A. ⚽, Alvarado A. (A),
- 82', Davila E. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
- 84', Pastran L. 🟨,
- 84', Ade R. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Delgado B. ⚽, Charcopa J. (A),
Chances of winning
LDU Quito
66.4% | Draw
20.9% | Mushuc Runa
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.41) |
4.42 ↓
(4.53) |
7.3 ↑
(6.72) |
7.9%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 2.
- LDU Quito is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mushuc Runa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- LDU Quito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, LDU Quito is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that LDU Quito will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:19. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Mushuc Runa?
LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against LDU Quito?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
14.04.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
LDU Quito
1:0
26.10.2024
LDU Quito
-
Mushuc Runa
1:1
04.05.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
LDU Quito
0:1
02.12.2023
LDU Quito
-
Mushuc Runa
3:1
17.06.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
LDU Quito
2:2
Latest results of LDU Quito
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Aucas | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Orense | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Libertad | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 35 |
| 9 | Emelec | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | Delfin | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Tecnico U | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Vinotinto | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Macara | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Manta | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
