Unión Santa Fe vs Mushuc Runa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe).

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.70	1.02
Ball Possession
72%	28%
Total shots
26	8
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	0
Passes
81% (379/467)	57% (110/192)
Yellow Cards
1	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70	1.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	0.95
Total shots
26	8
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
13	3
Blocked Shots
8	4
Shots inside the Box
15	4
Shots outside the Box
11	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	0
Touches in opposition box
33	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
17	13
Passes
81% (379/467)	57% (110/192)
Long passes
51% (23/45)	49% (36/74)
Passes in final third
73% (137/188)	54% (52/96)
Crosses
32% (14/44)	44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.27	0.97
Throw-ins
27	14
Fouls
13	17
Tackles
67% (12/18)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
75	57
Clearances
30	48
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.95	0.90
Goals prevented
-0.05	0.90

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', Mina G. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Caicedo E. ⚽, Orejuela C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fragapane F. ↓, Verde L. ↑,
53', Tapiero S. 🟨,
63', Orejuela C. 🟨,
66', Miranda B. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
71', Orejuela C. ↓, Peralta K. ↑,
71', Colazo A. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
72', Arce L. 🟨,
74', Fascendini V. 🟨,
77', Paz N. ↓, Estigarribia M. ↑,
86', Gamba L. ↓, Lavezzi T. ↑,
87', Vargas L. ↓, Gerometta F. ↑,
90', Caicedo E. ↓, Gracia A. ↑,
90+2', Penilla C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Unión Santa Fe
63%

Draw
23.7%

Mushuc Runa
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

24.1%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

22%

13.5%

Unión Santa Fe - Mushuc Runa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.48)	3.99 ↑ (3.89)	7.1 ↓ (7.62)	6.6% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Mushuc Runa?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Mushuc Runa (2.51) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Recent form of Unión has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mushuc Runa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Unión is the obvious favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Mushuc Runa?

Unión Santa Fe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Unión Santa Fe?

Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Mushuc Runa were as follows:

23.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - Unión Santa Fe 3:0

Latest results of Unión Santa Fe

07.05.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Palestino 1:2 ✺

02.05.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano 1:1 ✺

28.04.2025 Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe 2:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - Unión Santa Fe 3:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Mushuc Runa

10.05.2025 Manta - Mushuc Runa 2:1 ✺

07.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro 1:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará 4:3 ✺

27.04.2025 SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa 2:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - Unión Santa Fe 3:0 ✺

Draw

2026

Final

1	Nacional Asuncion	Recoleta
2	Sportivo Trinidense	Olimpia Asuncion
3	Alianza Atl.	Deportivo Garcilaso
4	Cienciano	FBC Melgar
5	Montevideo City	Defensor Sp.
6	Boston River	Racing Montevideo
7	Puerto Cabello	Monagas
8	Caracas	Metropolitanos
9	U. De Chile	Palestino
10	Cobresal	A. Italiano
11	Atl. Nacional	Millonarios
12	America De Cali	Bucaramanga
13	Independiente	Guabira
14	Blooming	SA Bulo Bulo
15	Dep. Cuenca	Libertad
16	Orense	Macara