MVV Maastricht vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


MVV Maastricht
24.6%
Draw
21.8%
De Graafschap
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 23% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 22.5% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (3.38)
    4.25
    (4)
    1.73
    (1.85)
    7.8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap?
  • Users Predictions: De Graafschap will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): De Graafschap will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1.
    • Recent form of Maastricht has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • De Graafschap is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, De Graafschap is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap were as follows:
    22.08.2025 De Graafschap - MVV Maastricht 0:1
    22.03.2025 De Graafschap - MVV Maastricht 0:0
    08.11.2024 MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap 0:0
    26.04.2024 De Graafschap - MVV Maastricht 3:0
    24.09.2023 MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap 1:2
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )