Result
2:1
06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 26
- Referee: Boel N. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (254/316) | 90% (593/659) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.65 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 32 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
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| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (254/316) | 90% (593/659) |
| Long passes |
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| 57% (33/58) | 52% (22/42) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 75% (88/118) | 78% (127/162) |
| Crosses |
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| 38% (9/24) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Throw ins |
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| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
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| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 63% (10/16) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 36 |
| Clearances |
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| 24 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.96 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -1.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Jones A. ⚽, Bassey E. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Asante D. ⚽, Braken S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Koller J. ↓, van der Plas S. ↑,
- 49', Verkooijen N. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, El Basri N. ⚽, Van Dessel S. (A),
- 73', Bassey E. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
- 73', Bouhamdi A. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
- 73', Monamay M. ↓, Kuhn W. ↑,
- 77', El Basri N. ↓, Jashari L. ↑,
- 86', van den Berg J. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
- 89', Silva Timas I. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
- 89', Braken S. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht
34.2% | Draw
23.5% | Jong PSV
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jong PSV's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong PSV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.2) |
3.95 ↑
(3.66) |
2.2 ↓
(2.66) |
7.6%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Maastricht (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Jong PSV (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Jong PSV (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Jong PSV (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 2.
- Maastricht has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jong PSV is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Maastricht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:16. (average 2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Jong PSV?
MVV Maastricht has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against MVV Maastricht?
Jong PSV has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV were as follows:
29.09.2025
Jong PSV
-
MVV Maastricht
2:2
14.04.2025
Jong PSV
-
MVV Maastricht
3:2
30.08.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong PSV
3:2
19.02.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong PSV
3:3
06.10.2023
Jong PSV
-
MVV Maastricht
2:3
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Latest results of Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
