Result
2:2
29/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 9
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (420/502) | 78% (283/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (420/502) | 78% (283/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 42% (22/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (95/132) | 67% (65/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, Koller J. ⚽, Merien F. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, van der Plas S. (Own goal),
- 38', 2 - 1, van den Berg J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kluit F. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
- 63', Kuipers M. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 63', van Duiven R. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
- 63', Raap Y. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 2, Foubert L. ⚽, Van Dessel S. (A),
- 73', Sidibe S. ↓, Bawuah J. ↑,
- 73', Thomas A. ↓, Abed T. ↑,
- 74', Bouhoudane S. 🟨,
- 76', El Basri N. 🟨,
- 78', Breugelmans I. ↓, Zaian A. ↑,
- 78', El Basri N. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
- 81', Silva Timas I. 🟨,
- 87', Silva Timas I. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong PSV
53.8% | Draw
22.5% | MVV Maastricht
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong PSV's form might have worsened.MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong PSV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.6) |
4.16 ↓
(4.6) |
3.94 ↓
(4.57) |
6.4%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Maastricht will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 1.
- Recent performances by Jong PSV have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Maastricht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jong PSV is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:32. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against MVV Maastricht?
Jong PSV has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Jong PSV?
MVV Maastricht has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
14.04.2025
Jong PSV
-
MVV Maastricht
3:2
30.08.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong PSV
3:2
19.02.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong PSV
3:3
06.10.2023
Jong PSV
-
MVV Maastricht
2:3
24.04.2023
Jong PSV
-
MVV Maastricht
0:1
Latest results of Jong PSV
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30:7 | 23 | 28 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Roda | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Willem II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 | Den Bosch | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Helmond | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Venlo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Emmen | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Oss | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Almere City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Eindhoven FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | Jong AZ | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
