Jong PSV vs MVV Maastricht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht
Result
3:2
14/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 34
  • Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.77
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
88% (443/501)82% (348/426)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.292.72
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
116
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2018
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
149
Passes
88% (443/501)82% (348/426)
Long passes
55% (24/44)54% (34/63)
Passes in final third
78% (126/161)56% (54/97)
Crosses
18% (2/11)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.611.47
Fouls
914
Tackles
69% (9/13)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5040
Clearances Total
3011
Interceptions
1610
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
2.721.29
Goals prevented
0.72-1.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Younis M. ⚽, Waayers E. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Smeets B. ⚽,
  • 39', Buifrahi R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', Coomans W. 🟨,
  • 66', Uneken J. ↓, Thomas A. ↑,
  • 66', Abed T. ↓, Bawuah J. ↑,
  • 79', Esajas R. 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Bajraktarevic E. ⚽, Babadi I. (A),
  • 84', Kleinen M. ↓, El Basri N. ↑,
  • 84', Coomans W. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Thomas A. ⚽, Land T. (A),
  • 90+2', Bajraktarevic E. ↓, Gilbert D. ↑,
  • 90+2', Younis M. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, El Basri N. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong PSV
46.4%		Draw
23.3%		MVV Maastricht
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 24.6% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 23.2% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong PSV's performance.
  • MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MVV Maastricht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong PSV that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MVV Maastricht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.03 ↓
    (2.41)    		 4.03 ↑
    (3.5)    		 3.04 ↑
    (2.18)    		 7%
    (15.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 30.4% – 86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong PSV won 0.
    • Jong PSV is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Maastricht has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Jong PSV could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Jong PSV will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Jong PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Jong PSV won 5 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:31 (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Jong PSV won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
    30.08.2024 MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV 3:2
    19.02.2024 MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV 3:3
    06.10.2023 Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht 2:3
    24.04.2023 Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht 0:1
    14.10.2022 MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV 1:1
    Latest results of Jong PSV
    07.04.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV 2:2 ✺
    04.04.2025 Volendam - Jong PSV 4:0 ✺
    31.03.2025 Jong PSV - Den Bosch 2:4 ✺
    14.03.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong PSV 1:1 ✺
    10.03.2025 Jong PSV - FC Oss 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    04.04.2025 MVV Maastricht - Excelsior 1:2 ✺
    28.03.2025 MVV Maastricht - Emmen 1:2 ✺
    22.03.2025 De Graafschap - MVV Maastricht 0:0 ✺
    14.03.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 0:1 ✺
    07.03.2025 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 4:0 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1De Graafschap00000:000
    2Venlo00000:000
    3Cambuur00000:000
    4Den Bosch00000:000
    5Dordrecht00000:000
    6Eindhoven FC00000:000
    7FC Emmen00000:000
    8Helmond00000:000
    9Maastricht00000:000
    10Almere City00000:000
    11Oss00000:000
    12Waalwijk00000:000
    13Roda00000:000
    14Vitesse00000:000
    15Willem II00000:000
    16Den Haag00000:000
    17Jong PSV00000:000
    18Jong Ajax00000:000
    19Jong AZ00000:000
    20Jong Utrecht00000:000

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