Result
3:2
14/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 34
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (443/501) | 82% (348/426) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 2.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (443/501) | 82% (348/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 54% (34/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (126/161) | 56% (54/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.47 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -1.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Younis M. ⚽, Waayers E. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Smeets B. ⚽,
- 39', Buifrahi R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', Coomans W. 🟨,
- 66', Uneken J. ↓, Thomas A. ↑,
- 66', Abed T. ↓, Bawuah J. ↑,
- 79', Esajas R. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 1, Bajraktarevic E. ⚽, Babadi I. (A),
- 84', Kleinen M. ↓, El Basri N. ↑,
- 84', Coomans W. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Thomas A. ⚽, Land T. (A),
- 90+2', Bajraktarevic E. ↓, Gilbert D. ↑,
- 90+2', Younis M. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, El Basri N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Jong PSV
46.4% | Draw
23.3% | MVV Maastricht
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong PSV's performance.MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MVV Maastricht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong PSV that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MVV Maastricht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.41) |
4.03 ↑
(3.5) |
3.04 ↑
(2.18) |
7%
(15.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Maastricht will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong PSV won 0.
- Jong PSV is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Maastricht has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Jong PSV could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Jong PSV will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Fofana F.
(Knee Injury)
Kuhn W.
(Knee Injury)
Pepi R.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Jong PSV won 5 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32:31 (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Jong PSV won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against MVV Maastricht?
Jong PSV has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Jong PSV?
MVV Maastricht has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
30.08.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong PSV
3:2
19.02.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong PSV
3:3
06.10.2023
Jong PSV
-
MVV Maastricht
2:3
24.04.2023
Jong PSV
-
MVV Maastricht
0:1
14.10.2022
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong PSV
1:1
Latest results of Jong PSV
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jong PSV | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Eindhoven FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Dordrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Cambuur | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Den Haag | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Roda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Willem II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Emmen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Jong Ajax | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Helmond | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Almere City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Venlo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Oss | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
