Willem II vs MVV Maastricht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg).

Eerste Divisie - Round 13
Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.38	1.61
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
22	8
Shots on target
10	5
Big Chances
6	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
89% (529/595)	74% (195/263)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.38	1.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.07	2.07
Total shots
22	8
Shots on target
10	5
Shots off target
7	1
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
16	6
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
6	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
41	15
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
11	4
Passes
89% (529/595)	74% (195/263)
Long passes
58% (33/57)	29% (17/59)
Passes in final third
81% (165/204)	68% (64/94)
Crosses
23% (11/48)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.31	0.92
Throw-ins
26	23
Fouls
4	11
Tackles
56% (9/16)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
50	40
Clearances
13	50
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	7
xGOT faced
2.07	2.07
Goals prevented
0.07	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Asante D. ⚽, Silva Timas I. (A),
41', Klaasen R. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Hoogma J. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', El Allouchi M. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Haen D. ⚽,
61', El Basri N. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Asante D. ⚽,
73', Bamba S. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
73', Behounek R. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
82', Silva Timas I. ↓, Pawirodihardjo J. ↑,
87', Kleinen M. 🟨,
88', Tjoe a On N. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
88', Asante D. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
88', Klaasen R. ↓, Dicke F. ↑,
90', Baartmans S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Willem II
59.9%

Draw
21.3%

MVV Maastricht
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

20.4%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

19.5%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Willem II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Willem II - MVV Maastricht Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.46)	4.37 ↓ (4.5)	4.93 ↓ (5.51)	7.6% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Willem II - MVV Maastricht?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2.
Willem II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Maastricht is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against MVV Maastricht?

Willem II has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Willem II?

MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - MVV Maastricht were as follows:

20.04.2024 MVV Maastricht - Willem II 1:1

08.09.2023 Willem II - MVV Maastricht 2:1

26.03.2023 Willem II - MVV Maastricht 2:0

30.09.2022 MVV Maastricht - Willem II 3:2

Latest results of Willem II

20.10.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II 4:0 ✺

17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3 ✺

03.10.2025 Willem II - Roda 1:2 ✺

30.09.2025 Willem II - Helmond Sport 1:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Vitesse - Willem II 1:2 ✺

Latest results of MVV Maastricht

21.10.2025 MVV Maastricht - Vitesse 3:2 ✺

17.10.2025 Jong Utrecht - MVV Maastricht 3:1 ✺

03.10.2025 MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven 3:1 ✺

29.09.2025 Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht 2:2 ✺

26.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Emmen 1:0 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	29	22	2	5	70:30	40	68
2	Cambuur	28	19	6	3	60:32	28	63
3	De Graafschap	29	14	7	8	55:44	11	49
4	Jong PSV	29	14	5	10	59:53	6	47
5	Roda	29	12	10	7	49:43	6	46
6	Willem II	29	13	7	9	41:36	5	46
7	Almere City	29	13	3	13	60:50	10	42
8	Waalwijk	29	11	8	10	47:44	3	41
9	Dordrecht	29	11	8	10	39:38	1	41
10	Den Bosch	29	11	6	12	51:53	-2	39
11	Venlo	29	11	4	14	38:43	-5	37
12	Eindhoven FC	29	10	4	15	41:53	-12	34
13	FC Emmen	28	9	6	13	43:51	-8	33
14	Jong Utrecht	29	8	9	12	47:52	-5	33
15	Helmond	29	9	5	15	36:53	-17	32
16	Maastricht	29	8	7	14	35:58	-23	31
17	Jong AZ	29	9	3	17	49:57	-8	30
18	Vitesse	29	10	9	10	43:45	-2	27
19	Oss	29	6	9	14	35:50	-15	27
20	Jong Ajax	29	6	8	15	40:53	-13	26

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )