Willem II vs MVV Maastricht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
26/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 13
  • Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.381.61
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
105
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
89% (529/595)74% (195/263)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.381.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.072.07
Total shots
228
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
166
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
4115
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
114
Passes
89% (529/595)74% (195/263)
Long passes
58% (33/57)29% (17/59)
Passes in final third
81% (165/204)68% (64/94)
Crosses
23% (11/48)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.310.92
Throw-ins
2623
Fouls
411
Tackles
56% (9/16)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5040
Clearances
1350
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
2.072.07
Goals prevented
0.070.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Asante D. , Silva Timas I. (A),
  • 41', Klaasen R. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Hoogma J. , Doodeman N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', El Allouchi M. , Baartmans S. ,
  • 52', 2 - 1, Haen D. ,
  • 61', El Basri N. , Kleinen M. ,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Asante D. ,
  • 73', Bamba S. , Kehrer E. ,
  • 73', Behounek R. , Stam F. ,
  • 82', Silva Timas I. , Pawirodihardjo J. ,
  • 87', Kleinen M. 🟨,
  • 88', Tjoe a On N. , van Loon P. ,
  • 88', Asante D. , Verheijen T. ,
  • 88', Klaasen R. , Dicke F. ,
  • 90', Baartmans S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Willem II
59.9%
Draw
21.3%
MVV Maastricht
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 20.4% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8% 19.5% 16%

Willem II - MVV Maastricht Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.55
(1.46)
4.37
(4.5)
4.93
(5.51)
7.6%
(8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Willem II - MVV Maastricht?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2.
    • Willem II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Maastricht is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
    20.04.2024 MVV Maastricht - Willem II 1:1
    08.09.2023 Willem II - MVV Maastricht 2:1
    26.03.2023 Willem II - MVV Maastricht 2:0
    30.09.2022 MVV Maastricht - Willem II 3:2
    Latest results of Willem II
    17.10.2025 Waalwijk - Willem II 2:3
    03.10.2025 Willem II - Roda 1:2
    30.09.2025 Willem II - Helmond Sport 1:0
    27.09.2025 Vitesse - Willem II 1:2
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag25182562:293356
    2Cambuur23155350:262450
    3Jong PSV26134954:48643
    4De Graafschap26126849:40942
    5Almere City251231053:411239
    6Willem II25116834:34039
    7Roda26109743:40339
    8Waalwijk26107943:40337
    9Dordrecht26107937:36137
    10Venlo261121335:39-435
    11Den Bosch261041245:48-334
    12Jong Utrecht2588944:46-232
    13Eindhoven FC25941235:45-1031
    14Maastricht26861232:50-1830
    15FC Emmen23851040:44-429
    16Helmond26851333:45-1229
    17Jong AZ26821644:53-926
    18Oss26681233:44-1126
    19Vitesse2698939:40-123
    20Jong Ajax25471433:50-1719

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )