Result
1:1
16/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 32
- Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (438/518) | 75% (260/348) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (438/518) | 75% (260/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (63/91) | 35% (25/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (151/198) | 63% (65/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Sin M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, Ichihara R. (Own goal),
- 61', Boogaard K. ↓, Twisk N. ↑,
- 61', Bouziane W. ↓, Hartog J. ↑,
- 61', Andersen F. E. ↓, Esajas J. ↑,
- 72', Kovacs B. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
- 73', Jashari L. ↓, Braken S. ↑,
- 73', Verheijen T. ↓, Silva Timas I. ↑,
- 82', Sin M. ↓, Oerip J. ↑,
- 84', Sy K. ↓, Breugelmans I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar
60.7% | Draw
20.1% | MVV Maastricht
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong AZ Alkmaar's performance.MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.67) |
4.68 ↑
(4.1) |
4.88 ↑
(4.2) |
6.6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Maastricht will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 35% – 88%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Maastricht (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Jong AZ (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Maastricht (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jong AZ Alkmaar will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 3 - 60%). Maastricht (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 2.
- Jong AZ has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Maastricht has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jong AZ is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Chavez Garcia M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong AZ: Daal R.
(Injury)
Kwakman D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 1.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 2.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against MVV Maastricht?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
MVV Maastricht has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
21.11.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:3
14.03.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:1
02.12.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
MVV Maastricht
2:3
03.05.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
MVV Maastricht
2:3
01.12.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4:0
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
