MVV Maastricht vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

De Geusselt (Maastricht).

Eerste Divisie - Round 33
Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4, ESPN

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.57	1.76
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
9	17
Shots on target
4	9
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
1	2
Passes
87% (436/500)	88% (474/540)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.57	1.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.89	1.38
Total shots
9	17
Shots on target
4	9
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
6	9
Shots outside the box
3	8
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
1	2
Touches in opposition box
11	19
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
6	8
Passes
87% (436/500)	88% (474/540)
Long passes
48% (26/54)	65% (34/52)
Passes in final third
67% (64/95)	74% (77/104)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.67	1.34
Throw ins
20	12
Fouls
8	6
Tackles
75% (6/8)	100% (8/8)
Duels won
25	32
Clearances
19	16
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	4
xGOT faced
1.38	0.89
Goals prevented
-2.62	0.89

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Breugelmans I. (Own goal),
35', Verheijen T. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Verheydt T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Verheijen T. ↓, Silva Timas I. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Verheydt T. ⚽, El Allouchi M. (A),
59', 0 - 4, Doodeman N. ⚽, Verheydt T. (A),
61', Coomans W. 🟨,
62', 0 - 5, El Allouchi M. ⚽,
63', Klaasen R. ↓, Mansala Mpudi A. ↑,
63', Jashari L. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
66', Verheydt T. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
66', van Loon P. ↓, Scheepens K. ↑,
67', El Allouchi M. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
75', Breugelmans I. 🟨,
75', Zarrouk A. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,
75', Doodeman N. ↓, Abildgaard L. ↑,
78', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
82', Sy K. ↓, Tran L. M. ↑,
82', Coomans W. ↓, Zaian A. ↑,

Chances of winning

MVV Maastricht
20%

Draw
20.5%

Willem II
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

23.7%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Willem II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Willem II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

MVV Maastricht - Willem II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.71)	4.54 ↑ (3.9)	1.56 ↓ (1.8)	7.4% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Willem II?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Willem II will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1.
Maastricht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Willem II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Willem II is the team to beat.
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock)
There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Willem II?

MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against MVV Maastricht?

Willem II has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Willem II were as follows:

26.10.2025 Willem II - MVV Maastricht 2:2

20.04.2024 MVV Maastricht - Willem II 1:1

08.09.2023 Willem II - MVV Maastricht 2:1

26.03.2023 Willem II - MVV Maastricht 2:0

30.09.2022 MVV Maastricht - Willem II 3:2

Latest results of MVV Maastricht

16.03.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht 1:1 ✺

13.03.2026 MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo 2:1 ✺

06.03.2026 Dordrecht - MVV Maastricht 1:1 ✺

27.02.2026 MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap 3:3 ✺

22.02.2026 Roda - MVV Maastricht 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Willem II

13.03.2026 FC Oss - Willem II 1:3 ✺

08.03.2026 Willem II - Den Bosch 1:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Emmen - Willem II 0:3 ✺

24.02.2026 Willem II - ADO Den Haag 0:1 ✺

20.02.2026 Willem II - Vitesse 3:0 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	36	27	2	7	82:35	47	83
2	Cambuur ✔	36	22	9	5	72:44	28	75
3	Willem II	36	18	8	10	54:41	13	62
4	De Graafschap	36	17	9	10	71:56	15	60
5	Jong PSV	36	17	5	14	65:59	6	56
6	Almere City	36	17	4	15	73:59	14	55
7	Waalwijk	36	15	10	11	66:53	13	55
8	Roda	36	14	12	10	57:50	7	54
9	Den Bosch	35	14	8	13	61:61	0	50
10	Dordrecht	36	12	11	13	46:50	-4	47
11	Eindhoven FC	36	13	5	18	50:66	-16	44
12	Vitesse	36	15	10	11	63:53	10	43
13	Venlo	36	12	6	18	47:55	-8	42
14	FC Emmen	36	11	8	17	55:70	-15	41
15	Jong Utrecht	35	10	9	16	52:61	-9	39
16	Oss	36	9	11	16	48:62	-14	38
17	Jong AZ	36	11	4	21	59:73	-14	37
18	Maastricht	36	9	10	17	41:71	-30	37
19	Helmond	36	9	9	18	40:61	-21	36
20	Jong Ajax	36	8	8	20	49:71	-22	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie