Result
0:5
22/03/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 33
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (436/500) | 88% (474/540) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (436/500) | 88% (474/540) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (26/54) | 65% (34/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (64/95) | 74% (77/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.62 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Breugelmans I. (Own goal),
- 35', Verheijen T. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 2, Verheydt T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Verheijen T. ↓, Silva Timas I. ↑,
- 52', 0 - 3, Verheydt T. ⚽, El Allouchi M. (A),
- 59', 0 - 4, Doodeman N. ⚽, Verheydt T. (A),
- 61', Coomans W. 🟨,
- 62', 0 - 5, El Allouchi M. ⚽,
- 63', Klaasen R. ↓, Mansala Mpudi A. ↑,
- 63', Jashari L. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
- 66', Verheydt T. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
- 66', van Loon P. ↓, Scheepens K. ↑,
- 67', El Allouchi M. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 75', Breugelmans I. 🟨,
- 75', Zarrouk A. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,
- 75', Doodeman N. ↓, Abildgaard L. ↑,
- 78', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
- 82', Sy K. ↓, Tran L. M. ↑,
- 82', Coomans W. ↓, Zaian A. ↑,
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht
20% | Draw
20.5% | Willem II
59.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Willem II's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Willem II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
MVV Maastricht - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.67 ↑
(3.71) |
4.54 ↑
(3.9) |
1.56 ↓
(1.8) |
7.4%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Willem II?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Willem II will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1.
- Maastricht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Willem II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Willem II is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Willem II?
MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against MVV Maastricht?
Willem II has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Willem II were as follows:
26.10.2025
Willem II
-
MVV Maastricht
2:2
20.04.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Willem II
1:1
08.09.2023
Willem II
-
MVV Maastricht
2:1
26.03.2023
Willem II
-
MVV Maastricht
2:0
30.09.2022
MVV Maastricht
-
Willem II
3:2
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
