Result
3:3
24/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 10
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (349/431) | 74% (271/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 2.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (349/431) | 74% (271/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 50% (39/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (79/115) | 56% (76/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 43% (9/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.55 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', Hillen R. ↓, Kongolo T. ↑,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Kongolo T. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Reulen P. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Greiml L. ⚽, Holtby L. (A),
- 58', 1 - 2, van Hooijdonk S. ⚽, Sowah K. (A),
- 62', Linday M. ↓, Kersten S. ↑,
- 62', Rivera M. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, Willemsen M. ⚽, Braude O. (A),
- 76', Holtby L. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
- 76', Lucassen B. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
- 77', Meerveld R. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 79', Gurbuz E. 🟨,
- 80', 3 - 2, Sejk V. ⚽, Braude O. (A),
- 82', Balard M. ↓, Brym C. ↑,
- 86', Trenskow J. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
- 86', Zagaritis V. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, Nassoh M. ⚽, Brym C. (A),
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
56.9% | Draw
23.3% | NAC Breda
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Heerenveen - NAC Breda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.76) |
4.08 ↑
(3.98) |
4.74 ↑
(4.25) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - NAC Breda?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Breda (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -2 - Breda (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Breda (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Breda (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Breda (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Heerenveen will win
(30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Heerenveen will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Breda (votes: 5 - 38.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 4.
- Heerenveen has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Breda's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Heerenveen is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Breda: Soumano M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Breda: Kongolo T.
(Muscle Injury)
- We predict that Heerenveen will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 1.4:0.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against NAC Breda?
Heerenveen has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Heerenveen?
NAC Breda has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - NAC Breda were as follows:
12.01.2025
NAC Breda
-
Heerenveen
2:4
31.08.2024
Heerenveen
-
NAC Breda
4:0
07.02.2023
NAC Breda
-
Heerenveen
1:2
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
