Result
2:1
08/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 3
- Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 13', 2 - 0, Rodriguez N. ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 1, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
- 27', Morales L. 🟨,
- 34', Rodriguez F. ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Silva A. 🟨,
- 59', Morales L. ↓, Ancheta E. ↑,
- 68', Mereles E. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 69', Barcia B. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
- 69', Lopez G. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
- 73', Coates S. 🟨,
- 79', Boggio L. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
- 79', Otero R. ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
- 84', Gutierrez J. ↓, Noguera F. ↑,
- 84', Silva A. ↓, Acosta J. ↑,
- 90+3', Viera G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
66.1% | Draw
20.9% | Boston River
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Nacional Montevideo - Boston River Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.54) |
4.46 ↑
(3.73) |
7.06 ↑
(6.29) |
8%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Boston River?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4.
- Nacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Boston River has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Nacional has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:16. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:6. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Boston River?
Nacional Montevideo has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boston River won against Nacional Montevideo?
Boston River has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Boston River were as follows:
22.02.2025
Boston River
-
Nacional Montevideo
2:3
01.12.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Boston River
3:1
28.07.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Boston River
1:0
04.06.2024
Boston River
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:3
19.10.2023
Boston River
-
Nacional Montevideo
2:0
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boston River | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Cerro Largo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Penarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Liverpool M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Danubio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Miramar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Plaza Colonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Progreso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Montevideo City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Defensor Sp | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
