Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting
Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
66
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
14
Corner Kicks
51
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Oliva C. 🟨,
  • 39', Ginella F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Herazo D. , Petit G. ,
  • 46', Baez Corradi G. , Romero D. ,
  • 46', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 1, Furtado N. ,
  • 57', Recoba J. , Otero R. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Lopez N. (Pen),
  • 67', Oliva C. , Pereyra M. ,
  • 73', Abaldo M. , Soria A. ,
  • 73', Prieto K. , Altez K. ,
  • 73', Montoya W. , Dudok R. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Petit G. ,
  • 88', Ginella F. , Abreu D. ,
  • 89', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Eduardo Vargas ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
61.4%
Draw
23.2%
Defensor Sporting
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 26.7% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 25.4% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.
  • Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensor Sporting might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.75)
    4.04
    (3.46)
    5.95
    (4.52)
    7.2%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
    • Nacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Defensor Sporting has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Defensor Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nacional is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 1.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:9. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 2:3
    21.09.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 1:1
    10.03.2024 Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo 3:3
    04.12.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 1:0
    07.05.2023 Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo 2:2
    Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boston River32107:257
    2Penarol32016:336
    3Cerro Largo22004:136
    4Racing Montevideo22003:126
    5Danubio21102:114
    6Liverpool M21101:014
    7Miramar21013:213
    8Defensor Sp21011:4-33
    9CA Cerro20111:2-11
    10Wanderers20110:1-11
    11River Plate20110:1-11
    12Plaza Colonia20111:3-21
    13Montevideo City20113:6-31
    14Nacional21015:500
    15Progreso20022:4-20
    16Juventud20021:4-30

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