Result
2:1
20/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Boggio L. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Machado A. ⚽,
- 45+2', Candido C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lopez N. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
- 59', Machado A. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
- 68', Juan Jorge 🟨,
- 71', Veron T. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
- 71', Lodeiro N. ↓, Barcia B. ↑,
- 71', 🟨,
- 72', Ancheta E. 🟨,
- 73', Wunsch N. ↓, Bruschi S. ↑,
- 73', Torterolo A. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Montenegro B. ⚽,
- 86', Vera M. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 86', Boggio L. ↓, Nunez P. ↑,
- 87', De los Santos G. ↓, Caballero M. ↑,
- 87', Juan Jorge ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
- 89', Barcia B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Defensor Sporting
22.6% | Draw
28.7% | Nacional Montevideo
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.14 ↑
(3.67) |
3.25 ↑
(3.14) |
1.9 ↓
(2.01) |
7.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 1.
- Defensor Sporting is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Nacional is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Nacional Montevideo?
Defensor Sporting has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Defensor Sporting?
Nacional Montevideo has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
09.11.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:1
18.05.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
2:1
06.12.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
2:3
21.09.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
1:1
10.03.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional Montevideo
3:3
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Danubio | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Central Esp | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Albion | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Progreso | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Juventud | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
