Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Oliva C. 🟨,
- 39', Ginella F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Herazo D. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
- 46', Baez Corradi G. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
- 46', Alvarez J. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 1, Furtado N. ⚽,
- 57', Recoba J. ↓, Otero R. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Lopez N. (Pen),
- 67', Oliva C. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
- 73', Abaldo M. ↓, Soria A. ↑,
- 73', Prieto K. ↓, Altez K. ↑,
- 73', Montoya W. ↓, Dudok R. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Petit G. ⚽,
- 88', Ginella F. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
- 89', Villalba Jaume L. M. ↓, Eduardo Vargas ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
61.4% | Draw
23.2% | Defensor Sporting
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensor Sporting might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Montevideo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.75) |
4.04 ↑
(3.46) |
5.95 ↑
(4.52) |
7.2%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
- Nacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Defensor Sporting has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Defensor Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:9. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Defensor Sporting?
Nacional Montevideo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Nacional Montevideo?
Defensor Sporting has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
06.12.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
2:3
21.09.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
1:1
10.03.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional Montevideo
3:3
04.12.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Defensor Sporting
1:0
07.05.2023
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional Montevideo
2:2
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Draw
Torneo Intermedio - Play OffsFinal
