Result
1:2
14/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 4
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Pereira A. 🟨,
- 28', Vazquez A. 🟨,
- 44', Vazquez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Mereles E. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 46', Tomatis B. ↓, Silveira H. ↑,
- 46', Ramirez S. ↓, Cairus F. ↑,
- 55', Pereira A. 🟨,
- 58', Rodriguez N. ↓, Baez Corradi G. ↑,
- 58', Boggio L. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
- 61', Pereyra M. 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 1, Baez Corradi G. ⚽,
- 66', Bueno G. 🟥,
- 68', Da Silva E. ↓, Pinela M. ↑,
- 72', Petit G. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
- 81', Otero R. ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 2, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 86', Coates S. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 2, Caceres M. ⚽,
- 90', Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↓, Oyarzo Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Racing Montevideo
19% | Draw
25.4% | Nacional Montevideo
55.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)The ML Model estimate for Racing Montevideo aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.78 ↓
(4.8) |
3.64 ↓
(3.65) |
1.68 ↓
(1.71) |
8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Nacional Montevideo will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 0.
- Racing has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nacional is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Nacional has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Nacional is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 15:44. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Nacional Montevideo?
Racing Montevideo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Racing Montevideo?
Nacional Montevideo has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
08.11.2024
Racing Montevideo
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:2
03.05.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Racing Montevideo
4:2
05.10.2023
Racing Montevideo
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:2
09.07.2023
Racing Montevideo
-
Nacional Montevideo
2:2
26.02.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Racing Montevideo
3:1
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 9 |
| 3 | Boston River | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Liverpool M | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Penarol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Juventud | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Danubio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Montevideo City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Miramar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | River Plate | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
