Nacional Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo
Result
3:0
07/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 6
  • Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
125
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
411
Corner Kicks
125
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Lopez N. ,
  • 32', Bosca J. 🟥,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Gomez M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Espinosa Dovat T. N. , Alfaro D. ,
  • 54', 3 - 0, Lopez N. ,
  • 59', Coates S. , Calione P. ,
  • 74', Silveira H. , Scarone A. ,
  • 74', Lodeiro N. , Pereyra M. ,
  • 74', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Mereles E. ,
  • 80', Tomatis B. , Manzur I. ,
  • 80', Da Silva E. , Cheuquepal D. ,
  • 85', Gomez M. , Carneiro G. ,
  • 85', Lopez N. , Otero R. ,
  • 85', Cotugno G. , Havranek F. ,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
66.1%
Draw
20.3%
Racing Montevideo
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 23.4% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 22.5% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.
  • Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.59)
    4.85
    (3.95)
    7.24
    (4.98)
    3.9%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 5.
    • Nacional is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Racing has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nacional is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 18 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 45:15. (average 2.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:6. (average 2.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 1:2
    08.11.2024 Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 0:2
    03.05.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo 4:2
    05.10.2023 Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 1:2
    09.07.2023 Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo 2:2
    Latest results of Racing Montevideo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol971119:71222
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Liverpool M1053213:10318
    6Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    7Defensor Sp95136:8-216
    8Danubio941414:9513
    9CA Cerro94148:10-213
    10Miramar1032513:14-111
    11Progreso932410:11-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo93247:15-811
    14Wanderers91172:12-104
    15River Plate100373:15-123
    16Plaza Colonia90276:20-142

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