Result
1:0
21/02/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 23
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Moja TV, Sportklub 1, Sportklub 2, SportKlub |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Montenegro | SportKlub |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (385/463) | 77% (284/369) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 75% (101/134) | 53% (46/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 14% (3/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Gorby ⚽, Fernandes R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bruno Costa ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 46', Yamada F. ↓, Paulinho Boia ↑,
- 65', Daniel Penha ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
- 69', Gharbi I. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 71', Matheus Dias 🟨,
- 76', Horta R. ↓, Racic U. ↑,
- 76', Moutinho J. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 78', Racic U. 🟨,
- 79', Labidi C. 🟨,
- 86', Esteves L. ↓, Sousa D. ↑,
- 90+3', Gomez V. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Braga
60.6% | Draw
23.5% | Nacional
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional's recent form is better than expected.
Braga - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.29) |
4 ↓
(4.9) |
5.5 ↓
(9.8) |
8.8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Braga - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 21 - 84%). Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 69.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Braga won 4.
- Braga in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Nacional is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Braga is a favorite.
- There will not play in Braga: Niakate S.
(Muscle Injury)
Vitor Carvalho
(Muscle Injury)
Zalazar R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Joel
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Braga to win the game is with odds 1.58.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Braga won 14 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 49:22 (average 2.5:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Braga won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27:11 (average 2.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Nacional?
Braga has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Braga?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Nacional were as follows:
20.09.2024
Nacional
-
Braga
0:3
22.12.2023
Nacional
-
Braga
1:3
12.04.2023
Nacional
-
Braga
0:5
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
