Result
0:1
03/03/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24
- Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Oliveirense
26.4% | Draw
26.2% | Nacional
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oliveirense's form might have worsened.Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oliveirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Oliveirense - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↑
(2.6) |
3.54 ↑
(3.4) |
1.95 ↓
(2.25) |
8.4%
(12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Oliveirense - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
Nacional will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 1.
- Oliveirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Nacional is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Oliveirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Nacional will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Oliveirense won against Nacional?
Oliveirense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Oliveirense?
Nacional has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oliveirense - Nacional were as follows:
07.10.2023
Nacional
-
Oliveirense
5:0
07.04.2023
Nacional
-
Oliveirense
0:3
23.10.2022
Oliveirense
-
Nacional
0:0
15.10.2022
Nacional
-
Oliveirense
3:1
Latest results of Oliveirense
Latest results of Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
