Result
2:1
01/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 20
- Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kuwait | KTV Sport Plus |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (454/533) | 79% (269/342) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (454/533) | 79% (269/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (20/37) | 41% (21/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (114/155) | 59% (35/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/33) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Leo Santos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 64', Simoes J. ↓, Trincao ↑,
- 64', Luis Guilherme ↓, Faye S. ↑,
- 65', Paulinho Boia ↓, Witi ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Goncalves P. ⚽,
- 76', 1 - 1, Nunez A. ⚽,
- 80', Catamo G. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
- 80', Goncalves P. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
- 80', Silva J. ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
- 80', Gabriel Veron ↓, Daniel Junior ↑,
- 87', Nunez A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Liziero ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 90+2', Ramirez J. ↓, Joao L. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Alisson Santos (A),
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
82.3% | Draw
11.8% | Nacional
5.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Sporting Lisbon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Sporting Lisbon - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.15
(1.15) |
8.14
(8.14) |
16.24 ↑
(15.64) |
5.1%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 16 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 62.5% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -2.5 - Nacional (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Sporting (1.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - Sporting (1.47) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1, 1st Half - Sporting (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Nacional (votes: 2 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5.
- Sporting is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nacional has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sporting is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting: Blopa S.
(Inactive)
Debast Z.
(Injury)
Ioannidis F.
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Reis
(Red Card)
Quenda G.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Fernandes I.
(Injury)
Soares F.
(Injury)
Ulisses
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting: Inacio G.
(Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Aurelio J.
(Inactive)
Vallier L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 16 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 42:9. (average 2.1:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:4. (average 2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Nacional?
Sporting Lisbon has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Sporting Lisbon?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Nacional were as follows:
23.08.2025
Nacional
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:4
25.01.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Nacional
2:0
29.10.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Nacional
3:1
17.08.2024
Nacional
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:6
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 59:14 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 73:17 | 56 | 71 |
| 3 | Benfica | 29 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 61:18 | 43 | 69 |
| 4 | Braga | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 55:27 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Estoril | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
| 10 | Alverca | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 | Arouca | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 37:58 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:52 | -24 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 19:62 | -43 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
