Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Toyota City).

J1 League - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	1.45
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
72% (232/322)	83% (328/397)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	1.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.04	1.27
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
27	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
10	8
Passes
72% (232/322)	83% (328/397)
Long passes
32% (20/62)	53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
58% (56/97)	74% (86/116)
Crosses
38% (8/21)	11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.56	0.66
Throw-ins
19	25
Fouls
9	10
Tackles
77% (10/13)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
46	44
Clearances
23	24
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.27	1.04
Goals prevented
0.27	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Yamashita K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
56', Yamashita K. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
64', Izumi R. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Sato Y. ⚽, Yamagishi Y. (A),
73', Nagai K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
73', Mori S. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
74', Nozawa L. ↓, Endo K. ↑,
74', Nagakura M. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
77', Higashi K. ↓, Doi K. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Endo K. ⚽,
90+1', Marcos Guilherme 🟨,
90+2', Endo K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Nagoya Grampus
41%

Draw
28.3%

Tokyo
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Nagoya Grampus aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.43)	3.29 ↓ (3.43)	3.03 ↑ (2.81)	6.8% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 30.4% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
Nagoya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tokyo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Red Card) Kikuchi T. (Knee Injury) Mateus (Ankle Injury) Schmidt D. (Inactive)
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Hashimoto K. (Yellow Cards) Koizumi K. (Yellow Cards) Nagatomo Y. (Yellow Cards) Ogashiwa T. (Shoulder Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Tokyo?

Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Nagoya Grampus?

Tokyo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo were as follows:

26.02.2025 Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus 3:1

14.09.2024 Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus 4:1

15.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 3:1

24.06.2023 Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus 2:0

18.03.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 0:0

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

27.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:4 ✺

23.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale 3:4 ✺

16.08.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

13.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Tokyo

27.08.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga 0:4 ✺

16.08.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 2:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Tokyo - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	34	20	6	8	52:28	24	66
2	Kashiwa Reysol	34	17	12	5	53:33	20	63
3	Kyoto	34	17	10	7	58:36	22	61
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
7	Machida	34	16	8	10	49:35	14	56
8	Urawa Reds	34	14	10	10	40:36	4	52
9	Gamba Osaka	34	15	5	14	46:52	-6	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	34	11	9	14	36:46	-10	42
12	Verdy	34	11	9	14	22:35	-13	42
13	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	34	10	11	13	38:44	-6	41
15	Okayama	34	11	8	15	30:37	-7	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	34	8	8	18	23:39	-16	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League