Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (232/322) | 83% (328/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (232/322) | 83% (328/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (20/62) | 53% (24/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (56/97) | 74% (86/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Yamashita K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
- 56', Yamashita K. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
- 64', Izumi R. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Sato Y. ⚽, Yamagishi Y. (A),
- 73', Nagai K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 73', Mori S. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 74', Nozawa L. ↓, Endo K. ↑,
- 74', Nagakura M. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 77', Higashi K. ↓, Doi K. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Endo K. ⚽,
- 90+1', Marcos Guilherme 🟨,
- 90+2', Endo K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
41% | Draw
28.3% | Tokyo
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)The ML Model estimate for Nagoya Grampus aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.43) |
3.29 ↓
(3.43) |
3.03 ↑
(2.81) |
6.8%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
- Nagoya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tokyo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K.
(Red Card)
Kikuchi T.
(Knee Injury)
Mateus
(Ankle Injury)
Schmidt D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Hashimoto K.
(Yellow Cards)
Koizumi K.
(Yellow Cards)
Nagatomo Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Ogashiwa T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Shirai K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Tokyo?
Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Nagoya Grampus?
Tokyo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo were as follows:
26.02.2025
Tokyo
-
Nagoya Grampus
3:1
14.09.2024
Tokyo
-
Nagoya Grampus
4:1
15.05.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Tokyo
3:1
24.06.2023
Tokyo
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:0
18.03.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Tokyo
0:0
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:30 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Machida | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 34:20 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Okayama | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:35 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:47 | -21 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 23 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
