Nagoya Grampus vs Tokyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.45
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
72% (232/322)83% (328/397)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.041.27
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
108
Passes
72% (232/322)83% (328/397)
Long passes
32% (20/62)53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
58% (56/97)74% (86/116)
Crosses
38% (8/21)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.66
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
910
Tackles
77% (10/13)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4644
Clearances
2324
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.271.04
Goals prevented
0.270.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Yamashita K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
  • 56', Yamashita K. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
  • 64', Izumi R. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Sato Y. ⚽, Yamagishi Y. (A),
  • 73', Nagai K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
  • 73', Mori S. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
  • 74', Nozawa L. ↓, Endo K. ↑,
  • 74', Nagakura M. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
  • 77', Higashi K. ↓, Doi K. ↑,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Endo K. ⚽,
  • 90+1', Marcos Guilherme 🟨,
  • 90+2', Endo K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
41%		Draw
28.3%		Tokyo
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 27.5% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 29.1% 31.8%

Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.3 ↓
(2.43)		 3.29 ↓
(3.43)		 3.03 ↑
(2.81)		 6.8%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 30.4% – 86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tokyo (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Nagoya (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Nagoya (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Nagoya (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 7 - 70%). Tokyo (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
    • Nagoya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tokyo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Red Card) Kikuchi T. (Knee Injury) Mateus (Ankle Injury) Schmidt D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Hashimoto K. (Yellow Cards) Koizumi K. (Yellow Cards) Nagatomo Y. (Yellow Cards) Ogashiwa T. (Shoulder Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus 3:1
    14.09.2024 Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus 4:1
    15.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 3:1
    24.06.2023 Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus 2:0
    18.03.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 0:0
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    27.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:4 ✺
    23.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale 3:4 ✺
    16.08.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺
    13.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 1:2 ✺
    10.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Tokyo
    27.08.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga 0:4 ✺
    16.08.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 2:2 ✺
    10.08.2025 Tokyo - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺
    06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Mito000000:00
    2Verdy000000:00
    3Yokohama F. Marinos000000:00
    4Kawasaki Frontale000000:00
    5Kashiwa Reysol000000:00
    6Chiba000000:00
    7Urawa Reds000000:00
    8FC Tokyo000000:00
    9Kashima Antlers000000:00
    10Machida000000:00


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Avispa Fukuoka000000:00
    2Cerezo Osaka000000:00
    3Kyoto000000:00
    4Nagoya Grampus000000:00
    5Shimizu S-Pulse000000:00
    6Vissel Kobe000000:00
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima000000:00
    8Gamba Osaka000000:00
    9Okayama000000:00
    10V-Varen Nagasaki000000:00

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
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