Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (308/387) | 77% (297/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (308/387) | 77% (297/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/60) | 46% (32/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (57/89) | 62% (77/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Komori H. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
- 29', Komori H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
- 31', Junker K. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 0, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Hara T. ⚽, Nakayama K. (A),
- 76', Matsuo Y. ↓, Thiago ↑,
- 77', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
- 77', Sato Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
- 78', Junker K. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 78', Izumi R. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 81', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
- 88', Kaneko T. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
- 89', Gustafson S. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
- 90+6', Danilo Boza 🟨,
Chances of winning
Urawa Red Diamonds
49% | Draw
28.3% | Nagoya Grampus
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(1.98) |
3.45 ↓
(3.56) |
4.38 ↑
(3.36) |
3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Urawa (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Urawa (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Urawa Red Diamonds will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 3.
- Urawa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nagoya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Urawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Urawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Kikuchi T.
(Knee Injury)
Mateus
(Ankle Injury)
Morishima T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Urawa: Watanabe R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Nagoya Grampus?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
24.05.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
2:1
26.06.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:1
28.04.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
18.08.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
02.08.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
3:0
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
