Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Red Diamonds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds
Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaQQ Sports
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan, NHK BS1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.180.21
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
283
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
81% (383/471)74% (236/320)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.180.21
xG on target (xGOT)
2.150.24
Total shots
283
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
141
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
192
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
4515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
109
Passes
81% (383/471)74% (236/320)
Long passes
46% (33/71)29% (17/58)
Passes in final third
71% (116/163)68% (71/105)
Crosses
38% (11/29)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.990.32
Throw-ins
4225
Fouls
910
Tackles
64% (7/11)25% (3/12)
Duels won
4641
Clearances
2138
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.242.15
Goals prevented
-0.760.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Okubo T. , Kaneko T. ,
  • 46', Matsumoto T. , Yasui K. ,
  • 46', Haraguchi G. , Watanabe R. ,
  • 51', 0 - 1, Watanabe R. , Kaneko T. (A),
  • 67', Matheus Savio , Sekine T. ,
  • 67', Izumi R. , Nagai K. ,
  • 67', Junker K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 78', Shiihashi K. , Morishima T. ,
  • 78', Sato Y. , Kawazura A. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Inagaki S. (Pen),
  • 88', Matsuo Y. , Nagakura M. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Nagai K. ,
  • 90+5', Mateus , Kikuchi T. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
38.6%
Draw
30.9%
Urawa Red Diamonds
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 31.8% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 32.1% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.8)
    3.05
    (2.97)
    3.07
    (2.73)
    5.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Urawa will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 28.1%71.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury) Thiago (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:
    26.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:1
    28.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    18.08.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    02.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:0
    09.04.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League