Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | QQ Sports |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan, NHK BS1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.18 | 0.21 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
28 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
81% (383/471) | 74% (236/320) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.18 | 0.21 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.15 | 0.24 |
Total shots |
---|
28 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
14 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
19 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
45 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
81% (383/471) | 74% (236/320) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (33/71) | 29% (17/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (116/163) | 68% (71/105) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (11/29) | 18% (2/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.99 | 0.32 |
Throw-ins |
---|
42 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (7/11) | 25% (3/12) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.24 | 2.15 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.76 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Okubo T. ↓, Kaneko T. ↑,
- 46', Matsumoto T. ↓, Yasui K. ↑,
- 46', Haraguchi G. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 1, Watanabe R. ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
- 67', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
- 67', Izumi R. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 67', Junker K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
- 78', Shiihashi K. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
- 78', Sato Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Inagaki S. (Pen),
- 88', Matsuo Y. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Nagai K. ⚽,
- 90+5', Mateus ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus 38.6% | Draw 30.9% | Urawa Red Diamonds 30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.47 ↓ (2.8) |
3.05 ↑ (2.97) |
3.07 ↑ (2.73) |
5.9% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Urawa will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 28.1% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Schmidt D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
Thiago
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Nagoya Grampus?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:
26.06.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:1
28.04.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
18.08.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
02.08.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
3:0
09.04.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:0
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League