Urawa Red Diamonds vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

J1 League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	1.21
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
80% (308/387)	77% (297/384)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	1.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.05	0.72
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
5	13
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
10	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
80% (308/387)	77% (297/384)
Long passes
37% (22/60)	46% (32/70)
Passes in final third
64% (57/89)	62% (77/125)
Crosses
50% (4/8)	26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.99
Throw-ins
23	26
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
78% (7/9)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
43	41
Clearances
32	15
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.72	1.05
Goals prevented
-0.28	-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Komori H. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
29', Komori H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
31', Junker K. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Hara T. ⚽, Nakayama K. (A),
76', Matsuo Y. ↓, Thiago ↑,
77', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
77', Sato Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
78', Junker K. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
78', Izumi R. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
81', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
88', Kaneko T. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
89', Gustafson S. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
90+6', Danilo Boza 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
49%

Draw
28.3%

Nagoya Grampus
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

25.9%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.8%

26.3%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.98)	3.45 ↓ (3.56)	4.38 ↑ (3.36)	3% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Urawa Red Diamonds will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 3.
Urawa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Nagoya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Urawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Urawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Kikuchi T. (Knee Injury) Mateus (Ankle Injury) Morishima T. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Urawa: Watanabe R. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Nagoya Grampus?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:

24.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1

26.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:1

28.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 2:1

18.08.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 1:0

02.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:0

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

09.08.2025 Yokohama FC - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

13.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 3:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Roasso Kumamoto 2:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League