Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (308/387) | 77% (297/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (308/387) | 77% (297/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/60) | 46% (32/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (57/89) | 62% (77/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Komori H. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
- 29', Komori H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
- 31', Junker K. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 0, Matheus Savio ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Hara T. ⚽, Nakayama K. (A),
- 76', Matsuo Y. ↓, Thiago ↑,
- 77', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
- 77', Sato Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
- 78', Junker K. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 78', Izumi R. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 81', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
- 88', Kaneko T. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
- 89', Gustafson S. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
- 90+6', Danilo Boza 🟨,
Chances of winning
Urawa Red Diamonds
49% | Draw
28.3% | Nagoya Grampus
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(1.98) |
3.45 ↓
(3.56) |
4.38 ↑
(3.36) |
3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Urawa (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Urawa Red Diamonds will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 3.
- Urawa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nagoya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Urawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Urawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Kikuchi T.
(Knee Injury)
Mateus
(Ankle Injury)
Morishima T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Urawa: Watanabe R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Nagoya Grampus?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
24.05.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
2:1
26.06.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:1
28.04.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:1
18.08.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
02.08.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
3:0
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 55:30 | 25 | 70 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 56:33 | 23 | 69 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 66:51 | 15 | 57 |
| 7 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Okayama | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42:53 | -11 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 24:43 | -19 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 34:61 | -27 | 29 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 34:63 | -29 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
