Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Red Diamonds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/05/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Toyota City).

J1 League - Round 18
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan, NHK BS1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.18	0.21
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
28	3
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
6	0
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
81% (383/471)	74% (236/320)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.18	0.21
xG on target (xGOT)
2.15	0.24
Total shots
28	3
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
14	1
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
19	2
Shots outside the Box
9	1
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
6	0
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
45	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
10	9
Passes
81% (383/471)	74% (236/320)
Long passes
46% (33/71)	29% (17/58)
Passes in final third
71% (116/163)	68% (71/105)
Crosses
38% (11/29)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.99	0.32
Throw-ins
42	25
Fouls
9	10
Tackles
64% (7/11)	25% (3/12)
Duels won
46	41
Clearances
21	38
Interceptions
6	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.24	2.15
Goals prevented
-0.76	0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Okubo T. ↓, Kaneko T. ↑,
46', Matsumoto T. ↓, Yasui K. ↑,
46', Haraguchi G. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Watanabe R. ⚽, Kaneko T. (A),
67', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
67', Izumi R. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
67', Junker K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
78', Shiihashi K. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
78', Sato Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Inagaki S. (Pen),
88', Matsuo Y. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Nagai K. ⚽,
90+5', Mateus ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Nagoya Grampus
38.6%

Draw
30.9%

Urawa Red Diamonds
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

31.8%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

32.1%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.8)	3.05 ↑ (2.97)	3.07 ↑ (2.73)	5.9% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Urawa will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 28.1% – 71.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Nagoya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Nagoya: Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury) Thiago (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Nagoya Grampus?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:

26.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:1

28.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 2:1

18.08.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus 1:0

02.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:0

09.04.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

17.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus 1:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 1:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Fagiano Okayama 0:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus 0:3 ✺

29.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

21.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo 3:2 ✺

11.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy 2:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League