Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (409/469) | 71% (165/232) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (409/469) | 71% (165/232) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 75% (33/44) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (98/136) | 50% (31/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (10/39) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 23 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 4 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jantawong P. ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
- 46', Lalic N. ↓, Sienkrthok P. ↑,
- 46', Hanrattana P. 🟨,
- 59', Panya E. ↓, Gustavsson P. ↑,
- 59', Matsuda R. ↓, Choolthong W. ↑,
- 66', Raniel ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
- 72', Doi T. ↓, Matheus Fornazari ↑,
- 73', Hanrattana P. ↓, Charalampous C. ↑,
- 80', Inpaen S. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 0, Gustavsson P. ⚽, Choolthong W. (A),
- 89', James L. ↓, Jaroenbut N. ↑,
- 90+2', Bangsungnoen R. ↓, Win Hein Phyo ↑,
Chances of winning
Pathum United
69% | Draw
19.4% | Nakhon Ratchasima
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Nakhon Ratchasima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Pathum United - Nakhon Ratchasima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↑
(1.33) |
4.77 ↑
(4.71) |
8 ↓
(8.11) |
8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 4.
- Pathum United is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nakhon Ratchasima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pathum United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pathum United is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Pathum United will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:4. (average 2:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pathum United won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pathum United won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Pathum United has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Pathum United?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pathum United - Nakhon Ratchasima were as follows:
07.12.2025
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Pathum United
0:1
23.04.2025
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Pathum United
1:3
06.04.2025
Pathum United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
1:0
24.11.2024
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Pathum United
1:0
08.04.2023
Pathum United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
5:2
Latest results of Pathum United
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 74:27 | 47 | 69 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:21 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 38:30 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Chiangrai Utd | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 20:41 | -21 | 25 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:48 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 | Kanchanaburi | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27:51 | -24 | 22 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:42 | -24 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
